Latest voting intention survey by Ipsos for Ireland
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Ireland conducted by Ipsos, the parties received the following results: Fianna Fáil 21%, Sinn Féin 20%, Fine Gael 19%, Social Democrats 6%, Green Party 4%, Labour Party 4%, Aontú 3% and Solidarity–People Before Profit 3%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1200 people during the period 23.11.2024 - 23.11.2024. The survey was commissioned by Irish Times.
1200 participants
20.11.2024 - 23.11.2024
Ipsos
Irish Times
FF
21.0
+2.0
SF
20.0
+1.0
FG
19.0
-6.0
SD
6.0
+2.0
GP
4.0
+1.0
Lab
4.0
-1.0
Aon
3.0
±0.0
S-PBP
3.0
+1.0
Others
20.0
±0.0
This poll is more than 3 months old.
Seats in parliament
160
Majority requires 81 seats
SF
40
25%
S-PBP
6
3.8%
SD
12
7.5%
Lab
8
5%
GP
8
5%
Aon
6
3.8%
FF
42
26.3%
FG
38
23.8%
Fianna Fáil + Fine Gael + Social Democrats
Fianna Fáil + Fine Gael + Green Party
Fianna Fáil + Fine Gael + Labour Party
Fianna Fáil + Fine Gael + Aontú
Fianna Fáil + Fine Gael
63
PolitPro Score
Ipsos achieves a score of 63/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
1.0
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Ipsos pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.0 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
0.96
|
Parliamentary Election in Irland 2024 | 3/4 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.