Latest voting intention survey by Ipsos MRBI for Ireland
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Ireland conducted by Ipsos MRBI, the parties received the following results: Sinn Féin 35%, Fine Gael 22%, Fianna Fáil 21%, Green Party 4%, Labour Party 3%, Social Democrats 3%, Solidarity–People Before Profit 2% and Aontú 1%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1200 people during the period 25.10.2022 - 25.10.2022. The survey was commissioned by The Irish Times.
1200 participants
23.10.2022 - 25.10.2022
Ipsos MRBI
The Irish Times
SF
35.0
-1.0
FG
22.0
+4.0
FF
21.0
+1.0
GP
4.0
+1.0
Lab
3.0
-1.0
SD
3.0
+1.0
S-PBP
2.0
-1.0
Aon
1.0
±0.0
Others
9.0
-4.0
This poll is more than 3 months old.
Seats in parliament
160
Majority requires 81 seats
SF
63
39.4%
S-PBP
3
1.9%
Lab
5
3.1%
SD
5
3.1%
GP
7
4.4%
Aon
1
0.6%
FG
39
24.4%
FF
37
23.1%
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Green Party
Sinn Féin + Green Party + Labour Party + Social Democrats + Solidarity–People Before Profit
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Labour Party
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Social Democrats
Sinn Féin + Green Party + Labour Party + Social Democrats
70
PolitPro Score
Ipsos MRBI achieves a score of 70/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
0.7
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Ipsos MRBI pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 0.7 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
0.7
|
Parliamentary Election in Irland 2020 | 2/5 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.