Latest polls from Ireland Thinks
Accuracy in elections
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Ireland Thinks pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.5 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, Ireland Thinks's average ranking is 5.0.
0x the most accurate prediction
2
0x the second best prediction
3
0x the third best prediction
4
0x on rank 4
5
1x on rank 5
Rating of parties
Institute often rates Fianna Fáil lower
In 41% of election polls Ireland Thinks rates Fianna Fáil lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Sinn Féin lower
In 38% of election polls Ireland Thinks rates Sinn Féin lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.