Latest polls from Ireland Thinks
Rating of parties
Institute often rates Fianna Fáil lower
In 35% of election polls Ireland Thinks rates Fianna Fáil lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Sinn Féin lower
In 35% of election polls Ireland Thinks rates Sinn Féin lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Ireland Thinks pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.3 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, Ireland Thinks's average ranking is 20.5.
0x the most accurate prediction
2
0x the second best prediction
3
0x the third best prediction
4
0x on rank 4
5
1x on rank 5
6
0x on rank 6
7
0x on rank 7
8
0x on rank 8
9
0x on rank 9
10
0x on rank 10
11
0x on rank 11
12
0x on rank 12
13
0x on rank 13
14
0x on rank 14
15
0x on rank 15
16
0x on rank 16
17
0x on rank 17
18
0x on rank 18
19
0x on rank 19
20
0x on rank 20
21
0x on rank 21
22
0x on rank 22
23
0x on rank 23
24
0x on rank 24
25
0x on rank 25
26
0x on rank 26
27
0x on rank 27
28
0x on rank 28
29
0x on rank 29
30
0x on rank 30
31
0x on rank 31
32
0x on rank 32
33
0x on rank 33
34
0x on rank 34
35
0x on rank 35
36
1x on rank 36