Polls and info about Ireland Thinks

Latest polls from Ireland Thinks

Accuracy in elections

3.2
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Ireland Thinks pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 3.2 percentage points.
5.0
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, Ireland Thinks's average ranking is 5.0.
0x the most accurate prediction
2
0x the second best prediction
3
0x the third best prediction
4
0x on rank 4

Rating of parties

Institute often rates Aontú higher
In 38% of election polls, Ireland Thinks rates Aontú higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Fianna Fáil lower
In 50% of election polls Ireland Thinks rates Fianna Fáil lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Green Party lower
In 35% of election polls Ireland Thinks rates Green Party lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Labour Party higher
In 35% of election polls, Ireland Thinks rates Labour Party higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Sinn Féin lower
In 58% of election polls Ireland Thinks rates Sinn Féin lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Social Democrats higher
In 58% of election polls, Ireland Thinks rates Social Democrats higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Solidarity–People Before Profit higher
In 35% of election polls, Ireland Thinks rates Solidarity–People Before Profit higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
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