Ireland
Election trend
Parties

Ireland: Poll by Ipsos MRBI from 06.10.2020

Polling data

FG
35.0
-2.0
SF
29.0
+4.0
FF
17.0
+4.0
GP
4.0
-8.0
Lab
4.0
+2.0
SD
2.0
+2.0
S-PBP
1.0
+1.0
Sonst.
8.0
-3.0
Development since the last election on 08.02.2020
FG
+14.1
SF
+4.5
FF
-5.2
GP
-3.1
Lab
-0.4
SD
-0.9
S-PBP
-1.6
Ipsos MRBI – 1200 respondents – 03.10.2020-06.10.2020
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Ireland is expected to take place in 2025.
Institute often rates Fine Gael higher
In 32% of election polls, Ipsos MRBI rates Fine Gael higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Sinn Féin higher
In 47% of election polls, Ipsos MRBI rates Sinn Féin higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Ireland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Ireland from Ipsos MRBI shows the following results: Fine Gael 35%, Sinn Féin 29%, Fianna Fáil 17%, Green Party 4%, Labour Party 4%, Social Democrats 2% and Solidarity–People Before Profit 1%. If an election were held in Ireland this Sunday, Fine Gael might gain the most in voter favorability with +14.1 growth since the last election. Fianna Fáil, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Micheál Martin is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Fine Gael, Fianna Fáil and Green Party. With 60.8% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Ipsos MRBI. For this purpose, 1200 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (03.10.2020 - 06.10.2020).

Coalition possibilities

160
SF
51
S-PBP
1
Lab
7
SD
3
GP
7
FG
61
FF
30
Majority requires 81 seats
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil
91
Fine Gael + Labour Party + Green Party + Social Democrats
78
Fine Gael + Labour Party + Green Party
75

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Ireland was conducted by Ipsos MRBI. The survey took place between 03.10.2020 and 06.10.2020 among 1200 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Fine Gael 35%, Sinn Féin 29%, Fianna Fáil 17%, Green Party 4%, Labour Party 4%, Social Democrats 2% and Solidarity–People Before Profit 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.