Ireland
Election trend
Parties

Ireland: Poll by Ipsos MRBI from 12.07.2022

Polling data

SF
36.0
+1.0
FF
20.0
±0.0
FG
18.0
-2.0
Lab
4.0
±0.0
GP
3.0
-2.0
S-PBP
3.0
+1.0
SD
2.0
±0.0
Aon
1.0
±0.0
Sonst.
13.0
+2.0
Development since the last election on 08.02.2020
SF
+11.5
FF
-2.2
FG
-2.9
Lab
-0.4
GP
-4.1
S-PBP
+0.4
SD
-0.9
Aon
-0.9
Ipsos MRBI – 1200 respondents – 10.07.2022-12.07.2022
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Ireland is expected to take place in 2025.
Institute often rates Fine Gael higher
In 32% of election polls, Ipsos MRBI rates Fine Gael higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Sinn Féin higher
In 47% of election polls, Ipsos MRBI rates Sinn Féin higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Ireland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Ireland from Ipsos MRBI shows the following results: Sinn Féin 36%, Fianna Fáil 20%, Fine Gael 18%, Labour Party 4%, Green Party 3%, Solidarity–People Before Profit 3%, Social Democrats 2% and Aontú 1%. If an election were held in Ireland this Sunday, Sinn Féin might gain the most in voter favorability with +11.5 growth since the last election. Green Party, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Micheál Martin is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Fine Gael, Fianna Fáil and Green Party. With 47.1% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Ipsos MRBI. For this purpose, 1200 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (10.07.2022 - 12.07.2022).

Coalition possibilities

160
SF
68
S-PBP
5
Lab
7
SD
3
GP
5
FF
37
FG
34
Aon
1
Majority requires 81 seats
Sinn Féin + Labour Party + Solidarity–People Before Profit + Green Party
85
Fianna Fáil + Fine Gael + Labour Party + Green Party
83
Sinn Féin + Labour Party + Green Party + Social Democrats
83
Sinn Féin + Labour Party + Solidarity–People Before Profit + Social Democrats
83
Fianna Fáil + Fine Gael + Labour Party + Social Democrats
81
Sinn Féin + Solidarity–People Before Profit + Green Party + Social Democrats
81
Sinn Féin + Labour Party + Green Party
80
Sinn Féin + Labour Party + Solidarity–People Before Profit
80
Fianna Fáil + Fine Gael + Green Party + Social Democrats
79

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Ireland was conducted by Ipsos MRBI. The survey took place between 10.07.2022 and 12.07.2022 among 1200 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Sinn Féin 36%, Fianna Fáil 20%, Fine Gael 18%, Labour Party 4%, Green Party 3%, Solidarity–People Before Profit 3%, Social Democrats 2% and Aontú 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.