Ireland
Election trend
Parties

Ireland: Poll by Ireland Thinks from 01.10.2022

Polling data

SF
37.0
+1.0
FG
21.0
±0.0
FF
17.0
+1.0
GP
4.0
+2.0
S-PBP
4.0
-1.0
Lab
3.0
±0.0
SD
3.0
-1.0
Aon
3.0
±0.0
Sonst.
8.0
-2.0
Development since the last election on 08.02.2020
SF
+12.5
FG
+0.1
FF
-5.2
GP
-3.1
S-PBP
+1.4
Lab
-1.4
SD
+0.1
Aon
+1.1
Ireland Thinks – 1254 respondents – 30.09.2022-01.10.2022
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Ireland is expected to take place in 2025.

Election poll results

Ireland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Ireland from Ireland Thinks shows the following results: Sinn Féin 37%, Fine Gael 21%, Fianna Fáil 17%, Green Party 4%, Solidarity–People Before Profit 4%, Labour Party 3%, Social Democrats 3% and Aontú 3%. If an election were held in Ireland this Sunday, Sinn Féin might gain the most in voter favorability with +12.5 growth since the last election. Fianna Fáil, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Micheál Martin is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Fine Gael, Fianna Fáil and Green Party. With 45.6% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Ireland Thinks. For this purpose, 1254 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (30.09.2022 - 01.10.2022).

Coalition possibilities

160
SF
65
S-PBP
6
Lab
5
SD
5
GP
7
FG
37
FF
30
Aon
5
Majority requires 81 seats
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Green Party + Labour Party + Social Democrats
84
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Green Party + Labour Party + Aontú
84
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Green Party + Social Democrats + Aontú
84
Sinn Féin + Green Party + Solidarity–People Before Profit + Labour Party
83
Sinn Féin + Green Party + Solidarity–People Before Profit + Social Democrats
83
Sinn Féin + Green Party + Solidarity–People Before Profit + Aontú
83
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Labour Party + Social Democrats + Aontú
82
Sinn Féin + Green Party + Labour Party + Social Democrats
82
Sinn Féin + Green Party + Labour Party + Aontú
82
Sinn Féin + Green Party + Social Democrats + Aontú
82
Sinn Féin + Solidarity–People Before Profit + Labour Party + Social Democrats
81
Sinn Féin + Solidarity–People Before Profit + Labour Party + Aontú
81
Sinn Féin + Solidarity–People Before Profit + Social Democrats + Aontú
81
Sinn Féin + Labour Party + Social Democrats + Aontú
80
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Green Party + Labour Party
79
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Green Party + Social Democrats
79
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Green Party + Aontú
79

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Ireland was conducted by Ireland Thinks. The survey took place between 30.09.2022 and 01.10.2022 among 1254 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Sinn Féin 37%, Fine Gael 21%, Fianna Fáil 17%, Green Party 4%, Solidarity–People Before Profit 4%, Labour Party 3%, Social Democrats 3% and Aontú 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.