Ireland: Poll by Ipsos MRBI from 25.10.2022

Polling data

SF
35.0
-1.0
FG
22.0
+4.0
FF
21.0
+1.0
GP
4.0
+1.0
Lab
3.0
-1.0
SD
3.0
+1.0
S-PBP
2.0
-1.0
Aon
1.0
±0.0
Others
9.0
±0.0
Ipsos MRBI – 1200 respondents – 23.10.2022-25.10.2022
Institute often rates Fianna Fáil lower
In 37% of election polls Ipsos MRBI rates Fianna Fáil lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Fine Gael higher
In 37% of election polls, Ipsos MRBI rates Fine Gael higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Sinn Féin higher
In 32% of election polls, Ipsos MRBI rates Sinn Féin higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Ireland is expected to take place in 2025.

Coalition possibilities

Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Green Party
51.7
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Labour Party
50.6
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Social Democrats
50.6
Sinn Féin + Green Party + Labour Party + Social Democrats


Government would have to tremble
In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 51.7% of the votes.

Frequently asked questions about election polls

election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Ireland was conducted by Ipsos MRBI. The survey took place between 23.10.2022 and 25.10.2022 among 1200 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Sinn Féin 35%, Fine Gael 22%, Fianna Fáil 21%, Green Party 4%, Labour Party 3%, Social Democrats 3%, Solidarity–People Before Profit 2% and Aontú 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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