Ireland: Poll by Ireland Thinks from 15.11.2022

Polling data

SF
34.0
-3.0
FG
21.0
±0.0
FF
17.0
±0.0
S-PBP
5.0
+1.0
SD
4.0
+1.0
Aon
4.0
+1.0
GP
3.0
-1.0
Lab
3.0
±0.0
Others
9.0
±0.0
Ireland Thinks – 1002 respondents – 15.11.2022-15.11.2022
Institute often rates Aontú higher
In 38% of election polls, Ireland Thinks rates Aontú higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Fianna Fáil lower
In 50% of election polls Ireland Thinks rates Fianna Fáil lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Green Party lower
In 35% of election polls Ireland Thinks rates Green Party lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Labour Party higher
In 35% of election polls, Ireland Thinks rates Labour Party higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Sinn Féin lower
In 58% of election polls Ireland Thinks rates Sinn Féin lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Social Democrats higher
In 58% of election polls, Ireland Thinks rates Social Democrats higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Solidarity–People Before Profit higher
In 35% of election polls, Ireland Thinks rates Solidarity–People Before Profit higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Ireland is expected to take place in 2025.

Coalition possibilities

Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Aontú + Labour Party + Green Party
Sinn Féin + Social Democrats + Aontú + Labour Party + Green Party
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Social Democrats + Labour Party + Green Party
Sinn Féin + Solidarity–People Before Profit + Social Democrats + Aontú
Sinn Féin + Solidarity–People Before Profit + Social Democrats + Labour Party
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Social Democrats + Aontú
Sinn Féin + Solidarity–People Before Profit + Aontú + Green Party
Sinn Féin + Solidarity–People Before Profit + Aontú + Labour Party
Sinn Féin + Solidarity–People Before Profit + Social Democrats + Green Party
Sinn Féin + Social Democrats + Aontú + Labour Party
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Aontú + Green Party
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Aontú + Labour Party
Sinn Féin + Social Democrats + Aontú + Green Party
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Social Democrats + Labour Party
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Social Democrats + Green Party
Sinn Féin + Solidarity–People Before Profit + Labour Party + Green Party


Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 45.1% of the votes.

Frequently asked questions about election polls

election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Ireland was conducted by Ireland Thinks. Eligible voters were surveyed for this on 15.11.2022 1002. After this election poll would get Sinn Féin 34%, Fine Gael 21%, Fianna Fáil 17%, Solidarity–People Before Profit 5%, Social Democrats 4%, Aontú 4%, Green Party 3% and Labour Party 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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