Ireland: Poll by Red C from 23.11.2022

Polling data

SF
31.0
-5.0
FG
24.0
+5.0
FF
15.0
+1.0
GP
5.0
+1.0
Lab
4.0
+1.0
SD
4.0
±0.0
S-PBP
3.0
-1.0
Aon
2.0
-1.0
Others
12.0
-1.0
Development since the last election on 29.11.2024
SF
+12.0
FG
+3.2
FF
-6.9
GP
+2.0
Lab
-0.7
SD
-0.8
S-PBP
+0.2
Aon
-1.9
Red C – 1004 respondents – 18.11.2022-23.11.2022

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Ireland is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates Fianna Fáil lower

In 55% of election polls Red C rates Fianna Fáil lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Sinn Féin lower

In 55% of election polls Red C rates Sinn Féin lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Ireland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Ireland from Red C shows the following results: Sinn Féin 31%, Fine Gael 24%, Fianna Fáil 15%, Green Party 5%, Labour Party 4%, Social Democrats 4%, Solidarity–People Before Profit 3% and Aontú 2%. If an election were held in Ireland this Sunday, Sinn Féin might gain the most in voter favorability with +12.0 growth since the last election. Fianna Fáil, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-6.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Micheál Martin is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Fine Gael, Fianna Fáil and Independents. With 45.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Red C. For this purpose, 1004 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (18.11.2022 - 23.11.2022).

Coalition possibilities

160
Majority requires 81 seats
SF
57
35.6%
S-PBP
5
3.1%
Lab
7
4.4%
SD
7
4.4%
GP
9
5.6%
Aon
3
1.9%
FG
44
27.5%
FF
28
17.5%
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Labour Party + Social Democrats
53.8%
Sinn Féin + Green Party + Labour Party + Social Democrats + Solidarity–People Before Profit
53.1%
Sinn Féin + Green Party + Labour Party + Social Democrats + Aontú
51.9%
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Labour Party + Aontú
51.3%
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Social Democrats + Aontú
51.3%
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Green Party
50.6%
Sinn Féin + Green Party + Labour Party + Solidarity–People Before Profit + Aontú
50.6%
Sinn Féin + Green Party + Social Democrats + Solidarity–People Before Profit + Aontú
50.6%
Sinn Féin + Green Party + Labour Party + Social Democrats
50.0%
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Labour Party
49.4%
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Social Democrats
49.4%
Sinn Féin + Labour Party + Social Democrats + Solidarity–People Before Profit + Aontú
49.4%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Ireland was conducted by Red C. The survey took place between 18.11.2022 and 23.11.2022 among 1004 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Sinn Féin 31%, Fine Gael 24%, Fianna Fáil 15%, Green Party 5%, Labour Party 4%, Social Democrats 4%, Solidarity–People Before Profit 3% and Aontú 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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