Ireland
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Ireland: Poll by Ireland Thinks from 07.02.2024

Polling data

SF
26.0
±0.0
FF
19.0
±0.0
FG
19.0
±0.0
I
16.0
±0.0
SD
6.0
±0.0
GP
4.0
±0.0
Lab
4.0
±0.0
S-PBP
3.0
±0.0
Sonst.
3.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 08.02.2020
SF
+1.5
FF
-3.2
FG
-1.9
I
+3.8
SD
+3.1
GP
-3.1
Lab
-0.4
S-PBP
+0.4
Ireland Thinks – 1255 respondents – 02.02.2024-07.02.2024

Next election: 2025

The next parliamentary election in Ireland is expected to take place in 2025.

Institute often rates Fianna Fáil lower

In 35% of election polls Ireland Thinks rates Fianna Fáil lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Sinn Féin lower

In 35% of election polls Ireland Thinks rates Sinn Féin lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Ireland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Ireland from Ireland Thinks shows the following results: Sinn Féin 26%, Fianna Fáil 19%, Fine Gael 19%, Independents 16%, Social Democrats 6%, Green Party 4%, Labour Party 4% and Solidarity–People Before Profit 3%. If an election were held in Ireland this Sunday, Independents might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.8 growth since the last election. Fianna Fáil, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Micheál Martin is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Fine Gael, Fianna Fáil and Green Party. With 43.3% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Ireland Thinks. For this purpose, 1255 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (02.02.2024 - 07.02.2024).

Coalition possibilities

0
Majority requires 1 seats
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Independents
0
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Social Democrats + Labour Party + Green Party
0
Sinn Féin + Independents + Social Democrats + Green Party
0
Sinn Féin + Independents + Social Democrats + Labour Party
0
Sinn Féin + Independents + Social Democrats + Solidarity–People Before Profit
0
Sinn Féin + Independents + Labour Party + Green Party
0
Sinn Féin + Independents + Labour Party + Solidarity–People Before Profit
0
Fianna Fáil + Independents + Social Democrats + Labour Party + Green Party
0
Fine Gael + Independents + Social Democrats + Labour Party + Green Party
0
Sinn Féin + Independents + Green Party + Solidarity–People Before Profit
0
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Social Democrats + Green Party
0
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Social Democrats + Labour Party
0
Sinn Féin + Independents + Social Democrats
0

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in EU-Parliament was conducted by Ireland Thinks. The survey took place between 02.02.2024 and 07.02.2024 among 1255 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Sinn Féin 26%, Fianna Fáil 19%, Fine Gael 19%, Independents 16%, Social Democrats 6%, Green Party 4%, Labour Party 4% and Solidarity–People Before Profit 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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