Ireland
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Ireland: Poll by Ireland Thinks from 07.05.2024

Polling data

SF
22.0
-4.0
FG
19.0
±0.0
FF
16.0
-3.0
GP
6.0
+2.0
SD
5.0
-1.0
Aon
4.0
+4.0
Lab
3.0
-1.0
S-PBP
2.0
-1.0
Sonst.
23.0
+4.0
Development since the last election on 08.02.2020
SF
-2.5
FG
-1.9
FF
-6.2
GP
-1.1
SD
+2.1
Aon
+2.1
Lab
-1.4
S-PBP
-0.6
Ireland Thinks – 1633 respondents – 02.05.2024-07.05.2024

Next election: 2025

The next parliamentary election in Ireland is expected to take place in 2025.

Institute often rates Fianna Fáil lower

In 35% of election polls Ireland Thinks rates Fianna Fáil lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Sinn Féin lower

In 35% of election polls Ireland Thinks rates Sinn Féin lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Ireland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Ireland from Ireland Thinks shows the following results: Sinn Féin 22%, Fine Gael 19%, Fianna Fáil 16%, Green Party 6%, Social Democrats 5%, Aontú 4%, Labour Party 3% and Solidarity–People Before Profit 2%. If an election were held in Ireland this Sunday, Social Democrats might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.1 growth since the last election. Fianna Fáil, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-6.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Micheál Martin is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Fine Gael, Fianna Fáil and Green Party. With 53.3% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Ireland Thinks. For this purpose, 1633 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (02.05.2024 - 07.05.2024).

Coalition possibilities

96
SF
28
S-PBP
2
SD
7
Lab
3
GP
8
FG
24
FF
20
Aon
4
Majority requires 49 seats
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Aontú + Labour Party
51
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Green Party
52
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Social Democrats
51
Sinn Féin + Green Party + Social Democrats + Aontú + Labour Party
50
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Aontú
48
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Labour Party
47
Sinn Féin + Green Party + Social Democrats + Aontú
47

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in EU-Parliament was conducted by Ireland Thinks. The survey took place between 02.05.2024 and 07.05.2024 among 1633 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Sinn Féin 22%, Fine Gael 19%, Fianna Fáil 16%, Green Party 6%, Social Democrats 5%, Aontú 4%, Labour Party 3% and Solidarity–People Before Profit 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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