Ireland: Poll by OPINIONS from 13.11.2024

Polling data

FG
23.0
+4.0
FF
20.0
+4.0
SF
18.0
-9.0
SD
6.0
±0.0
GP
4.0
-1.0
Lab
4.0
+1.0
Aon
3.0
±0.0
S-PBP
2.0
-1.0
Others
20.0
+2.0
OPINIONS – 1000 respondents – 07.11.2024-13.11.2024

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Ireland is expected to take place in 2029.

Election poll results

Ireland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Ireland from OPINIONS shows the following results: Fine Gael 23%, Fianna Fáil 20%, Sinn Féin 18%, Social Democrats 6%, Green Party 4%, Labour Party 4%, Aontú 3% and Solidarity–People Before Profit 2%. If an election were held in Ireland this Sunday, Fine Gael might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.2 growth since the last election. Fianna Fáil, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Micheál Martin is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Fine Gael, Fianna Fáil and Independents. With 53.8% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by OPINIONS. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (07.11.2024 - 13.11.2024).

Coalition possibilities

160
Majority requires 81 seats
SF
36
22.5%
S-PBP
4
2.5%
SD
12
7.5%
Lab
8
5%
GP
8
5%
Aon
6
3.8%
FG
46
28.8%
FF
40
25%
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil
53.8%
Fine Gael + Social Democrats + Labour Party + Green Party + Aontú

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Ireland was conducted by OPINIONS. The survey took place between 07.11.2024 and 13.11.2024 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Fine Gael 23%, Fianna Fáil 20%, Sinn Féin 18%, Social Democrats 6%, Green Party 4%, Labour Party 4%, Aontú 3% and Solidarity–People Before Profit 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.