Ireland: Poll by Ipsos from 23.11.2024

Polling data

FF
21.0
+2.0
SF
20.0
+1.0
FG
19.0
-6.0
SD
6.0
+2.0
GP
4.0
+1.0
Lab
4.0
-1.0
Aon
3.0
±0.0
S-PBP
3.0
+1.0
Others
20.0
±0.0
Ipsos – 1200 respondents – 20.11.2024-23.11.2024

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Ireland is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates Aontú lower

In 43% of election polls Ipsos rates Aontú lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Fianna Fáil higher

In 43% of election polls, Ipsos rates Fianna Fáil higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Fine Gael higher

In 57% of election polls, Ipsos rates Fine Gael higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Social Democrats lower

In 43% of election polls Ipsos rates Social Democrats lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Ireland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Ireland from Ipsos shows the following results: Fianna Fáil 21%, Sinn Féin 20%, Fine Gael 19%, Social Democrats 6%, Green Party 4%, Labour Party 4%, Aontú 3% and Solidarity–People Before Profit 3%. If an election were held in Ireland this Sunday, Social Democrats might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.2 growth since the last election. Fine Gael, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Micheál Martin is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Fine Gael, Fianna Fáil and Independents. With 50.1% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Ipsos. For this purpose, 1200 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (20.11.2024 - 23.11.2024).

Coalition possibilities

160
Majority requires 81 seats
SF
40
25%
S-PBP
6
3.8%
SD
12
7.5%
Lab
8
5%
GP
8
5%
Aon
6
3.8%
FF
42
26.3%
FG
38
23.8%
Fianna Fáil + Fine Gael + Social Democrats
57.5%
Fianna Fáil + Fine Gael + Green Party
55.0%
Fianna Fáil + Fine Gael + Labour Party
55.0%
Fianna Fáil + Fine Gael + Aontú
53.8%
Fianna Fáil + Fine Gael
50.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Ireland was conducted by Ipsos. The survey took place between 20.11.2024 and 23.11.2024 among 1200 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Fianna Fáil 21%, Sinn Féin 20%, Fine Gael 19%, Social Democrats 6%, Green Party 4%, Labour Party 4%, Aontú 3% and Solidarity–People Before Profit 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.