Ireland
Election trend
Parties

Ireland: Poll by Ireland Thinks from 25.01.2020

Polling data

FF
27.0
+2.0
FG
22.0
-6.0
SF
20.0
+5.0
GP
10.0
+3.0
Lab
6.0
+1.0
SD
3.0
±0.0
S-PBP
1.0
-2.0
Sonst.
11.0
-3.0
Development since the last election on 08.02.2020
FF
+4.8
FG
+1.1
SF
-4.5
GP
+2.9
Lab
+1.6
SD
+0.1
S-PBP
-1.6
Ireland Thinks – 942 respondents – 01.01.2020-25.01.2020
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Ireland is expected to take place in 2025.

Election poll results

Ireland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Ireland from Ireland Thinks shows the following results: Fianna Fáil 27%, Fine Gael 22%, Sinn Féin 20%, Green Party 10%, Labour Party 6%, Social Democrats 3% and Solidarity–People Before Profit 1%. If an election were held in Ireland this Sunday, Fianna Fáil might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.8 growth since the last election. Sinn Féin, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Micheál Martin is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Fine Gael, Fianna Fáil and Green Party. With 66.2% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Ireland Thinks. For this purpose, 942 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 24 days (01.01.2020 - 25.01.2020).

Coalition possibilities

160
SF
36
S-PBP
1
Lab
11
SD
5
GP
18
FF
49
FG
40
Majority requires 81 seats
Fianna Fáil + Fine Gael
89
Fianna Fáil + Green Party + Labour Party + Social Democrats
83

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Ireland was conducted by Ireland Thinks. The survey took place between 01.01.2020 and 25.01.2020 among 942 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Fianna Fáil 27%, Fine Gael 22%, Sinn Féin 20%, Green Party 10%, Labour Party 6%, Social Democrats 3% and Solidarity–People Before Profit 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.