Ireland
Election trend
Parties

Ireland: Poll by Panelbase from 30.01.2020

Polling data

FF
23.0
±0.0
SF
21.0
±0.0
FG
19.0
±0.0
GP
10.0
±0.0
Lab
5.0
±0.0
SD
5.0
±0.0
S-PBP
5.0
±0.0
Sonst.
12.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 08.02.2020
FF
+0.8
SF
-3.5
FG
-1.9
GP
+2.9
Lab
+0.6
SD
+2.1
S-PBP
+2.4
Panelbase – 1000 respondents – 24.01.2020-30.01.2020
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Ireland is expected to take place in 2025.

Election poll results

Ireland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Ireland from Panelbase shows the following results: Fianna Fáil 23%, Sinn Féin 21%, Fine Gael 19%, Green Party 10%, Labour Party 5%, Social Democrats 5% and Solidarity–People Before Profit 5%. If an election were held in Ireland this Sunday, Green Party might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.9 growth since the last election. Sinn Féin, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Micheál Martin is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Fine Gael, Fianna Fáil and Green Party. With 59.1% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Panelbase. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (24.01.2020 - 30.01.2020).

Coalition possibilities

160
SF
38
S-PBP
9
Lab
9
SD
9
GP
18
FF
42
FG
35
Majority requires 81 seats
Fianna Fáil + Fine Gael + Green Party
95
Fianna Fáil + Fine Gael + Labour Party
86
Fianna Fáil + Fine Gael + Social Democrats
86
Sinn Féin + Green Party + Labour Party + Solidarity–People Before Profit + Social Democrats
83

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Ireland was conducted by Panelbase. The survey took place between 24.01.2020 and 30.01.2020 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Fianna Fáil 23%, Sinn Féin 21%, Fine Gael 19%, Green Party 10%, Labour Party 5%, Social Democrats 5% and Solidarity–People Before Profit 5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.