Ireland
Election trend
Parties

Ireland: Poll by Survation from 02.02.2020

Polling data

SF
25.0
±0.0
FF
22.0
±0.0
FG
17.0
±0.0
GP
9.0
±0.0
Lab
6.0
±0.0
S-PBP
5.0
±0.0
SD
3.0
±0.0
IA
1.0
±0.0
Sonst.
12.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 08.02.2020
SF
+0.5
FF
-0.2
FG
-3.9
GP
+1.9
Lab
+1.6
S-PBP
+2.4
SD
+0.1
IA
Survation – 1074 respondents – 27.01.2020-02.02.2020
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Ireland is expected to take place in 2025.

Election poll results

Ireland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Ireland from Survation shows the following results: Sinn Féin 25%, Fianna Fáil 22%, Fine Gael 17%, Green Party 9%, Labour Party 6%, Solidarity–People Before Profit 5%, Social Democrats 3% and Independent Alliance 1%. If an election were held in Ireland this Sunday, Solidarity–People Before Profit might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.4 growth since the last election. Fine Gael, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Micheál Martin is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Fine Gael, Fianna Fáil and Green Party. With 54.5% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Survation. For this purpose, 1074 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (27.01.2020 - 02.02.2020).

Coalition possibilities

160
SF
46
S-PBP
9
Lab
11
SD
5
GP
16
IA
1
FF
41
FG
31
Majority requires 81 seats
Fianna Fáil + Fine Gael + Green Party
88
Fianna Fáil + Fine Gael + Labour Party
83
Sinn Féin + Green Party + Labour Party + Solidarity–People Before Profit
82

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Ireland was conducted by Survation. The survey took place between 27.01.2020 and 02.02.2020 among 1074 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Sinn Féin 25%, Fianna Fáil 22%, Fine Gael 17%, Green Party 9%, Labour Party 6%, Solidarity–People Before Profit 5%, Social Democrats 3% and Independent Alliance 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.