Ireland
Election trend
Parties

Ireland: Poll by Behaviour and Attitudes from 25.02.2020

Polling data

SF
35.0
+16.0
FF
20.0
-12.0
FG
18.0
-2.0
GP
6.0
-1.0
Lab
3.0
-1.0
S-PBP
3.0
+1.0
SD
2.0
+1.0
Aon
1.0
±0.0
Sonst.
12.0
-2.0
Development since the last election on 08.02.2020
SF
+10.5
FF
-2.2
FG
-2.9
GP
-1.1
Lab
-1.4
S-PBP
+0.4
SD
-0.9
Aon
-0.9
Behaviour and Attitudes – 917 respondents – 17.02.2020-25.02.2020
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Ireland is expected to take place in 2025.
Institute often rates Fianna Fáil higher
In 47% of election polls, Behaviour and Attitudes rates Fianna Fáil higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Sinn Féin higher
In 37% of election polls, Behaviour and Attitudes rates Sinn Féin higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Ireland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Ireland from Behaviour and Attitudes shows the following results: Sinn Féin 35%, Fianna Fáil 20%, Fine Gael 18%, Green Party 6%, Labour Party 3%, Solidarity–People Before Profit 3%, Social Democrats 2% and Aontú 1%. If an election were held in Ireland this Sunday, Sinn Féin might gain the most in voter favorability with +10.5 growth since the last election. Fine Gael, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Micheál Martin is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Fine Gael, Fianna Fáil and Green Party. With 50.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Behaviour and Attitudes. For this purpose, 917 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 8 days (17.02.2020 - 25.02.2020).

Coalition possibilities

160
SF
65
S-PBP
5
Lab
5
SD
3
GP
11
FF
37
FG
33
Aon
1
Majority requires 81 seats
Fianna Fáil + Fine Gael + Green Party
81
Sinn Féin + Green Party + Labour Party
81
Sinn Féin + Green Party + Solidarity–People Before Profit
81
Sinn Féin + Green Party + Social Democrats
79

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Ireland was conducted by Behaviour and Attitudes. The survey took place between 17.02.2020 and 25.02.2020 among 917 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Sinn Féin 35%, Fianna Fáil 20%, Fine Gael 18%, Green Party 6%, Labour Party 3%, Solidarity–People Before Profit 3%, Social Democrats 2% and Aontú 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.