Italy: Latest election trends & polls

The current political sentiment at a glance

PolitPro Election trend

Next election in 40 days
FdI
24.0
PD
23.2
Lega
13.6
M5S
10.4
FI
8.4
A/+E
5.4
AVS
3.7
Exit
2.7
IV
2.6
Sonst.
6.0
According to current poll results for Italy, the parties would reach the following results: Fratelli d’Italia 24%, Partito Democratico 23.2%, Lega 13.6%, Movimento 5 Stelle 10.4%, Forza Italia 8.4%, A/+E 5.4%, AVS 3.7%, Italexit 2.7% and Italia Viva 2.6%.
Parties with a more left-wing orientation (center-left, left, far-left) could achieve 32.3%, parties in the right-wing political spectrum achieve 46%.
The current government of Mario Draghi could continue to govern and would receive 62.7% of seats in parliament.

Possible coalitions

Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + Movimento 5 Stelle + AVS
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + Movimento 5 Stelle
54.1
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia + A/+E
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + Forza Italia
51.9
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia
48.3
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + A/+E + AVS
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia
47.4
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + AVS
46.6

Development of the electoral trend

Latest election polls

Things to know about the election trend

This is how the PolitPro election trend is calculated

The PolitPro AI calculates its own election trend from the latest election polls of leading opinion research institutes. The individual values are calculated from a weighted average of the polls. Thereby, time dependencies, i.e. how long ago a poll was asked, or the accuracy of the institutes are also taken into account. The PolitPro election trend therefore allows a quick overview of the different parliaments.
At least 21860 persons participated in the election polls included in the election trend. The most recent opinion polls conducted by all institutes with election polls in the last 100 days were taken into account.
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