Italian Election: Results, Seat Allocation, and Coalition Scenarios

These symbols illustrate a party's political orientation to facilitate quick comparison. These categories offer a broad classification; for detailed policy positions, please visit the individual party pages.

Far-Left

Left

Centre-Left

Centre

Big-tent party

Unknown

Centre-Right

Right

Far-Right

Liberal

Green

Regional

Animal Welfare

Satire

Electoral Threshold

The electoral threshold for the Italian election is 3%.

Voter Turnout

Voter turnout was 63.9%.

Current Election Trend: Italy

Poll results, coalitions, and election data

Historical Elections: Italy

Results, coalitions, and historical data

Seat Distribution and Mathematical Majorities

400

Majority requires 201 seats

The current government loses its majority

The incumbent governing parties secured 33.3% of the seats.

Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + Movimento 5 Stelle

Right

59.3%

Partito Democratico + Lega + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia

Centre

58.0%

Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + Forza Italia

Right

57.5%

Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia

Right

54.0%

Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + AVS

Right

49.3%

Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia + A/IV

Centre-Left

46.8%

Fratelli d’Italia + Lega

Right

46.3%

Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + AVS

Centre-Right

45.8%

Governments of the Current Legislative Period

Historical Government Cabinets: Italy

Cabinets and governing parties since 1945

Polling Accuracy: How Precise Were the Forecasts?

Comparison: Pre-Election Polls vs. Actual Election Results

1.13

IZI

The final poll by IZI deviated by an average of 1.13 percentage points per party from the actual Italian election results.

FdI

-1.0
PD

+2.3
M5S

±0.0
Lega

+1.2
FI

+0.5
A/IV

-2.3
AVS

+0.6

1.17

Index

The final poll by Index deviated by an average of 1.17 percentage points per party from the actual Italian election results.

FdI

+0.5
PD

+2.0
M5S

-1.4
Lega

+2.2
A/IV

-0.6
FI

-1.1
AVS

+0.4

1.19

Ipsos

The final poll by Ipsos deviated by an average of 1.19 percentage points per party from the actual Italian election results.

FdI

-0.9
PD

+1.4
M5S

-0.9
Lega

+3.7
FI

-0.1
A/IV

-1.1
AVS

-0.2

1.20

Cluster17

The final poll by Cluster17 deviated by an average of 1.20 percentage points per party from the actual Italian election results.

FdI

-1.6
PD

+1.7
M5S

-1.3
Lega

+2.5
FI

+0.3
A/IV

-1.0
AVS

±0.0

1.20

EMG

The final poll by EMG deviated by an average of 1.20 percentage points per party from the actual Italian election results.

FdI

-1.5
PD

+0.4
M5S

-2.4
Lega

+3.2
A/IV

+0.2
FI

-0.1
AVS

-0.6

1.49

Noto

The final poll by Noto deviated by an average of 1.49 percentage points per party from the actual Italian election results.

FdI

-1.7
PD

+0.4
M5S

-1.9
Lega

+4.2
A/IV

-0.1
FI

-1.2
AVS

-0.9

1.50

Euromedia

The final poll by Euromedia deviated by an average of 1.50 percentage points per party from the actual Italian election results.

FdI

-1.3
PD

+2.7
M5S

-2.4
Lega

+3.0
A/IV

±0.0
FI

-0.9
AVS

+0.2

1.51

Ixè

The final poll by Ixè deviated by an average of 1.51 percentage points per party from the actual Italian election results.

FdI

-3.3
PD

+2.6
M5S

-1.6
Lega

+2.1
FI

-0.2
A/IV

-0.7
AVS

-0.1

1.57

Quorum – YouTrend

The final poll by Quorum – YouTrend deviated by an average of 1.57 percentage points per party from the actual Italian election results.

FdI

-0.7
PD

+2.1
M5S

-1.6
Lega

+4.1
FI

±0.0
A/IV

-2.3
AVS

-0.2

1.59

SWG

The final poll by SWG deviated by an average of 1.59 percentage points per party from the actual Italian election results.

FdI

+1.0
PD

+1.3
Lega

+3.3
M5S

-3.4
A/IV

-0.3
FI

-1.4
AVS

+0.4

1.59

Demos & Pi

The final poll by Demos & Pi deviated by an average of 1.59 percentage points per party from the actual Italian election results.

FdI

-1.4
PD

+3.3
M5S

-1.6
Lega

+3.2
FI

-0.4
A/IV

-1.0
AVS

-0.2

1.61

BiDiMedia

The final poll by BiDiMedia deviated by an average of 1.61 percentage points per party from the actual Italian election results.

FdI

-0.2
PD

+3.2
M5S

-2.3
Lega

+3.0
A/IV

-0.8
FI

-1.4
AVS

+0.4

1.74

GDC

The final poll by GDC deviated by an average of 1.74 percentage points per party from the actual Italian election results.

FdI

-1.6
PD

+2.5
Lega

+3.7
M5S

-3.1
A/IV

-0.1
FI

-0.8
AVS

-0.4

1.74

CISE

The final poll by CISE deviated by an average of 1.74 percentage points per party from the actual Italian election results.

FdI

-3.0
PD

+2.3
M5S

+1.2
Lega

+0.8
FI

-0.1
AVS

+2.3
A/IV

-2.5

1.83

Tecnè

The final poll by Tecnè deviated by an average of 1.83 percentage points per party from the actual Italian election results.

FdI

-0.6
PD

+2.5
M5S

-3.2
Lega

+2.6
FI

+2.1
A/IV

-1.4
AVS

-0.4

1.96

Demopolis

The final poll by Demopolis deviated by an average of 1.96 percentage points per party from the actual Italian election results.

FdI

-1.0
PD

+3.3
Lega

+4.7
M5S

-2.6
A/IV

-0.8
FI

-1.2
AVS

-0.1

2.16

Piepoli

The final poll by Piepoli deviated by an average of 2.16 percentage points per party from the actual Italian election results.

FdI

-2.5
PD

+2.4
Lega

+3.2
M5S

-3.9
FI

+1.4
A/IV

-1.3
AVS

+0.4

2.16

Termometro Politico

The final poll by Termometro Politico deviated by an average of 2.16 percentage points per party from the actual Italian election results.

FdI

-0.8
PD

+3.1
Lega

+4.5
M5S

-2.1
FI

-0.9
A/IV

-2.7
AVS

-1.0

3.26

Lab21

The final poll by Lab21 deviated by an average of 3.26 percentage points per party from the actual Italian election results.

PD

+5.6
FdI

-2.7
Lega

+6.9
M5S

-3.4
A/IV

-1.1
FI

-2.1
AVS

-1.0

Party Results: Vote Shares and Gains/Losses

Data Sources and Methodology

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Found a Mistake?

Political data is constantly evolving. If you spot an error, please let us know. A brief reference to your source will help us verify and update the information.

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ParlGov – Parliamentary Democracy Data

A comprehensive research database from the University of Bremen, documenting parties, elections, and governments for comparative analysis.

Additional Sources

Döring, Holger and Philip Manow. 2024. Parliaments and governments database (ParlGov).

CHES – Chapel Hill Expert Survey

The leading expert survey on party positions in Europe. Over 400 political scientists document party stances based on rigorous scientific criteria.

Additional Sources

Rovny, Jan, et al. “25 Years of Political Party Positions in Europe: The Chapel Hill Expert Survey, 1999-2024.”

Italian Election: Results, Seat Allocation, and Coalition Scenarios

Official final result of the General Election in Italy

General election in Italy 2022

What do the symbols mean?

Electoral Threshold

Voter Turnout

Seat Distribution and Mathematical Majorities

The current government loses its majority

Governments of the Current Legislative Period

Polling Accuracy: How Precise Were the Forecasts?

Comparison: Pre-Election Polls vs. Actual Election Results

IZI

Index

Ipsos

Cluster17

EMG

Noto

Euromedia

Ixè

Quorum – YouTrend

SWG

Demos & Pi

BiDiMedia

GDC

CISE

Tecnè

Demopolis

Piepoli

Termometro Politico

Lab21

Party Results: Vote Shares and Gains/Losses

Fratelli d’Italia

Partito Democratico

Movimento 5 Stelle

Lega

Forza Italia

A/IV

AVS

Più Europa

Italexit

UP

Other Parties

DSp

NM

ScN

IC

SVP

MAIE

VdA

Data Sources and Methodology

PolitPro

Help Us Stay Independent

Give Feedback

Found a Mistake?

ParlGov – Parliamentary Democracy Data

Additional Sources

CHES – Chapel Hill Expert Survey

Additional Sources