Latest voting intention survey by CISE for Italy
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Italy conducted by CISE, the parties received the following results: Fratelli d’Italia 23%, Partito Democratico 21.4%, Movimento 5 Stelle 16.6%, Lega 9.6%, Forza Italia 8%, AVS 5.9%, A/IV 5.3%, Italexit 3.6%, NM 1.4% and IC 0.9%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 861 people during the period 05.09.2022 - 05.09.2022.
861 participants
31.08.2022 - 05.09.2022
CISE
FdI
23.0
+18.4
PD
21.4
+1.0
M5S
16.6
-6.9
Lega
9.6
-21.2
FI
8.0
-3.0
AVS
5.9
+5.9
A/IV
5.3
+5.3
Exit
3.6
+3.6
NM
1.4
+1.4
IC
0.9
+0.9
Others
4.3
-5.4
This poll is more than 3 months old.
Seats in parliament
400
Majority requires 201 seats
M5S
71
17.8%
AVS
25
6.3%
PD
92
23%
A/IV
23
5.8%
FI
34
8.5%
FdI
99
24.8%
Lega
41
10.3%
Exit
15
3.8%
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega + Forza Italia
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia + A/IV
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia + Italexit
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + AVS + A/IV
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + AVS + Italexit
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + AVS + Italexit
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + A/IV + Italexit
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + AVS
?
PolitPro Score
CISE achieves a score of ?/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
1.7
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in CISE pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.7 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
1.74
|
Parliamentary Election in Italien 2022 | 12/18 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.