Latest voting intention survey by Cluster17 for Italy
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Italy conducted by Cluster17, the parties received the following results: Fratelli d’Italia 24.4%, Partito Democratico 20.8%, Movimento 5 Stelle 14.1%, Lega 11.3%, Forza Italia 8.4%, A/IV 6.8%, AVS 3.6%, Italexit 3.3%, Più Europa 2.4%, UP 1.2%, NM 0.7% and IC 0.6%. The voting intention survey was conducted during the period 09.09.2022. The sample size is unknown.
Unbekannt
09.09.2022
Cluster17
FdI
24.4
±0.0
PD
20.8
±0.0
M5S
14.1
±0.0
Lega
11.3
±0.0
FI
8.4
±0.0
A/IV
6.8
±0.0
AVS
3.6
±0.0
Exit
3.3
±0.0
+E
2.4
±0.0
UP
1.2
±0.0
NM
0.7
±0.0
IC
0.6
±0.0
Others
2.4
±0.0
This poll is more than 3 months old.
Seats in parliament
400
Majority requires 201 seats
M5S
61
15.3%
AVS
15
3.8%
PD
90
22.5%
A/IV
29
7.3%
FI
36
9%
FdI
106
26.5%
Lega
49
12.3%
Exit
14
3.5%
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega + Forza Italia
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia + A/IV
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + A/IV + AVS + Italexit
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + Forza Italia + Italexit
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia + Italexit
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + AVS + Italexit
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + Forza Italia
?
PolitPro Score
Cluster17 achieves a score of ?/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
1.2
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Cluster17 pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.2 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
1.23
|
Parliamentary Election in Italien 2022 | 5/18 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.