Latest voting intention survey by Demopolis for Italy
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Italy conducted by Demopolis, the parties received the following results: Fratelli d’Italia 29%, Partito Democratico 23.5%, Movimento 5 Stelle 12%, Forza Italia 8.9%, Lega 8.6% and AVS 6.5%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 2000 people during the period 26.06.2025 - 26.06.2025. The survey was commissioned by Otto e Mezzo.
2000 participants
25.06.2025 - 26.06.2025
Demopolis
Otto e Mezzo
Seats in parliament
400
Majority requires 201 seats
M5S
54
13.5%
AVS
29
7.3%
PD
107
26.8%
FI
40
10%
FdI
131
32.8%
Lega
39
9.8%
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + AVS
Fratelli d’Italia + Forza Italia + Lega
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + AVS
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + AVS
78
PolitPro Score
Demopolis achieves a score of 78/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
1.9
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Demopolis pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.9 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
1.85
|
Parliamentary Election in Italy 2022 | 15/18 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.