Current election polls and polling data from Demos & Pi

Latest voting intention survey by Demos & Pi for Italy

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Italy conducted by Demos & Pi, the parties received the following results: Fratelli d’Italia 29.3%, Partito Democratico 22%, Movimento 5 Stelle 12.5%, Lega 8.7%, Forza Italia 8.6%, AVS 5.8%, Azione 3.8%, Italia Viva 2.5% and Più Europa 2.3%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1009 people during the period 15.05.2025 - 15.05.2025.
1009 participants
14.05.2025 - 15.05.2025
Demos & Pi
Development since the last election on 25.09.2022
FdI
+3.3
PD
+2.9
M5S
-2.9
Lega
-0.1
FI
+0.5
AVS
+2.2
A
New
IV
New
+E
-0.5
FdI
29.3
+1.1
PD
22.0
+2.4
M5S
12.5
-4.4
Lega
8.7
+0.4
FI
8.6
+1.6
AVS
5.8
+2.3
A
3.8
-0.2
IV
2.5
-0.4
+E
2.3
-0.2
Others
4.5
-2.6

Seats in parliament

400
Majority requires 201 seats
M5S
55
13.8%
AVS
25
6.3%
PD
98
24.5%
A
16
4%
FI
38
9.5%
FdI
130
32.5%
Lega
38
9.5%
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia + Lega
57.3%
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega
55.8%
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia
55.8%
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + AVS
52.5%
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia + Azione
51.8%
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + Forza Italia
51.5%
79

PolitPro Score

Demos & Pi achieves a score of 79/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
+E
0
100
0
A
0
100
0
AVS
0
100
0
FI
0
100
0
FdI
0
95
5
IV
8
92
0
Lega
27
68
5
M5S
5
85
10
PD
0
95
5

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

1.6

Average deviation

On average, party poll results in Demos & Pi pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.6 percentage points.

Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections

Deviation Election Rank
1.59
 Parliamentary Election in Italy 2022 9/18

How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?

The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.
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