Current election polls and polling data from Eumetra

Latest voting intention survey by Eumetra for Italy

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Italy conducted by Eumetra, the parties received the following results: Fratelli d’Italia 29.6%, Partito Democratico 22.8%, Movimento 5 Stelle 11.3%, Lega 9.1%, Forza Italia 8.6%, AVS 6.6%, Azione 2.7%, Italia Viva 2.2%, Più Europa 1.8% and NM 1.1%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 800 people during the period 16.10.2024 - 16.10.2024. The survey was commissioned by PiazzaPulita.
800 participants
15.10.2024 - 16.10.2024
Eumetra
PiazzaPulita
FdI
29.6
-0.3
PD
22.8
-0.2
M5S
11.3
+0.1
Lega
9.1
+0.4
FI
8.6
±0.0
AVS
6.6
+0.4
A
2.7
-0.5
IV
2.2
-0.2
+E
1.8
+0.2
NM
1.1
+0.2
Others
4.2
-0.1
This poll is more than 3 months old.

Seats in parliament

400
Majority requires 201 seats
M5S
51
12.8%
AVS
30
7.5%
PD
104
26%
FI
39
9.8%
FdI
135
33.8%
Lega
41
10.3%
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega + Forza Italia
58.8%
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega
56.8%
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia
56.3%
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + AVS
54.0%
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + Forza Italia
53.8%
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + AVS
51.5%
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + AVS
46.3%

75

PolitPro Score

Eumetra achieves a score of 75/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
+E
0
100
0
A
0
100
0
AVS
0
100
0
FI
0
100
0
FdI
0
100
0
IV
0
100
0
Lega
0
90
10
M5S
0
100
0
NM
0
100
0
PD
0
95
5

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.