Current election polls and polling data from Euromedia

Latest voting intention survey by Euromedia for Italy

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Italy conducted by Euromedia, the parties received the following results: Fratelli d’Italia 31.5%, Partito Democratico 24.3%, Movimento 5 Stelle 10%, Forza Italia 9.2%, Lega 9%, AVS 5.3%, Azione 2.6%, Più Europa 2%, Italia Viva 1.9% and NM 0.6%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1000 people during the period 09.01.2025. The survey was commissioned by Porta a Porta.
1000 participants
09.01.2025
Euromedia
Porta a Porta
FdI
31.5
+1.5
PD
24.3
+1.1
M5S
10.0
-1.6
FI
9.2
+0.4
Lega
9.0
±0.0
AVS
5.3
+0.1
A
2.6
-0.4
+E
2.0
+0.3
IV
1.9
-0.5
NM
0.6
+0.1
Others
3.6
-1.0

Seats in parliament

400
Majority requires 201 seats
M5S
45
11.3%
AVS
23
5.8%
PD
109
27.3%
FI
41
10.3%
FdI
142
35.5%
Lega
40
10%
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia + Lega
58.8%
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia
57.0%
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega
56.8%
Fratelli d’Italia + Forza Italia + Lega
55.8%
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + AVS
52.5%
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + AVS
51.3%

81

PolitPro Score

Euromedia achieves a score of 81/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
+E
0
99
1
A
0
95
5
AVS
12
88
0
FI
3
89
8
FdI
11
88
2
IV
1
93
6
Lega
12
79
9
M5S
10
88
2
NM
0
100
0
PD
14
83
3

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

1.5

Average deviation

On average, party poll results in Euromedia pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.5 percentage points.

Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections

Deviation Election Rank
1.5
Parliamentary Election in Italien 2022 6/18

How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?

The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.