Latest polls from Ipsos
28.2
18.3
17
8.3
7.9
3.6
3.5
3.3
2.2
2
1.1
1
1
2.6
29
19.7
16.2
8.7
7
4.2
3.3
3
2.1
1.7
1.4
1.3
1.1
1.3
29.3
19
17.2
8
6.8
4
3.5
3.2
2.4
1.4
1.4
1
1
1.8
28.5
18
17
9.2
7.8
3.5
3.5
3.1
2.6
2
1.2
1.2
1.1
1.3
Rating of parties
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Ipsos pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.1 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, Ipsos's average ranking is 4.7.
0x the most accurate prediction
2
2x the second best prediction
3
5x the third best prediction
4
3x on rank 4
5
1x on rank 5
6
1x on rank 6
7
0x on rank 7
8
0x on rank 8
9
1x on rank 9