Latest voting intention survey by Piepoli for Italy
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Italy conducted by Piepoli, the parties received the following results: Fratelli d’Italia 23.5%, Partito Democratico 21.5%, Lega 12%, Movimento 5 Stelle 11.5%, Forza Italia 9.5%, A/IV 6.5%, AVS 4%, Più Europa 2.5%, IC 2%, Italexit 2% and NM 2%. The voting intention survey was conducted during the period 09.09.2022. The sample size is unknown.
Unbekannt
09.09.2022
Piepoli
FdI
23.5
+4.5
PD
21.5
+1.0
Lega
12.0
-6.5
M5S
11.5
-4.5
FI
9.5
+2.0
A/IV
6.5
+6.5
AVS
4.0
+4.0
+E
2.5
+0.5
IC
2.0
+2.0
Exit
2.0
+2.0
NM
2.0
+2.0
Others
3.0
-13.5
This poll is more than 3 months old.
Seats in parliament
400
Majority requires 201 seats
M5S
52
13%
AVS
18
4.5%
PD
97
24.3%
A/IV
29
7.3%
FI
43
10.8%
FdI
107
26.8%
Lega
54
13.5%
Partito Democratico + Lega + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia + A/IV
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + Movimento 5 Stelle
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + Forza Italia
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + A/IV + AVS
64
PolitPro Score
Piepoli achieves a score of 64/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
2.2
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Piepoli pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.2 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
2.16
|
Parliamentary Election in Italy 2022 | 16/18 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.