Current election polls and polling data from Quorum – YouTrend

Latest voting intention survey by Quorum – YouTrend for Italy

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Italy conducted by Quorum – YouTrend, the parties received the following results: Fratelli d’Italia 24.1%, Partito Democratico 22.7%, Lega 13.8%, Movimento 5 Stelle 11.1%, Forza Italia 8.7%, A/IV 5.3%, AVS 3.2%, Più Europa 2.9%, Italexit 2.5%, NM 1.9%, UP 1.2% and IC 0.7%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1005 people during the period 27.08.2022 - 27.08.2022. The survey was commissioned by Sky Tg24.
1005 participants
24.08.2022 - 27.08.2022
Quorum – YouTrend
Sky Tg24
FdI
24.1
+8.1
PD
22.7
+2.0
Lega
13.8
-9.7
M5S
11.1
-3.8
FI
8.7
+1.3
A/IV
5.3
+5.3
AVS
3.2
+3.2
+E
2.9
+0.9
Exit
2.5
+2.5
NM
1.9
+1.9
UP
1.2
+1.2
IC
0.7
+0.7
Others
1.9
-13.6
This poll is more than 3 months old.

Seats in parliament

400
Majority requires 201 seats
M5S
50
12.5%
AVS
14
3.5%
PD
102
25.5%
A/IV
24
6%
FI
39
9.8%
FdI
109
27.3%
Lega
62
15.5%
Partito Democratico + Lega + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia
63.3%
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + Movimento 5 Stelle
55.3%
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia + A/IV
53.8%
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + Forza Italia
52.5%
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia
49.5%

70

PolitPro Score

Quorum – YouTrend achieves a score of 70/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
+E
0
86
14
A/IV
Not enough data available
AVS
Not enough data available
Exit
Not enough data available
FI
0
100
0
FdI
0
86
14
Lega
14
86
0
M5S
14
86
0
NM
Not enough data available
PD
0
100
0

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.