Latest polls from SWG
27.1
20.2
15.4
8.1
7.6
4.5
4.1
3.1
2.7
1.5
1.4
1.3
1
2
27.3
20
15.8
8
7.6
4.3
4.2
3.1
2.8
1.7
1.3
1.1
1
1.8
27.7
20
15.6
8.1
7.1
4.4
4.2
3.3
2.6
1.7
1.4
1.2
2.7
28.2
20.1
15.3
8
7.1
4.2
4.2
3.3
2.4
1.5
1.4
1.3
1
2
Rating of parties
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in SWG pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.6 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, SWG's average ranking is 11.0.
0x the most accurate prediction
2
0x the second best prediction
3
0x the third best prediction
4
0x on rank 4
5
0x on rank 5
6
0x on rank 6
7
0x on rank 7
8
0x on rank 8
9
0x on rank 9
10
0x on rank 10
11
1x on rank 11