Polls and info about SWG

Latest polls from SWG

Accuracy in elections

Average deviation
On average, party poll results in SWG pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 0.9 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, SWG's average ranking is 7.0.
0x the most accurate prediction
0x the second best prediction
0x the third best prediction
0x on rank 4
0x on rank 5
0x on rank 6

Rating of parties

Institute often rates Forza Italia lower
In 37% of election polls SWG rates Forza Italia lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Fratelli d’Italia higher
In 34% of election polls, SWG rates Fratelli d’Italia higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
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