Latest polls from Termometro Politico
Italy
6 days ago
FdI
28.7
M5S
17.1
PD
17
A/IV
8.4
Lega
8
FI
6.9
AVS
3.3
+E
2.6
Exit
2.2
UP
1.6
ISP
1.4
Others
2.8
Italy
1 week ago
FdI
28.8
PD
17
M5S
16.6
A/IV
8.4
Lega
8.2
FI
6.6
AVS
3.5
+E
2.7
Exit
2.1
UP
1.7
ISP
1.5
Others
2.9
Italy
2 weeks ago
FdI
28.4
PD
17.4
M5S
16.5
A/IV
8.4
Lega
8.3
FI
6.6
AVS
3.6
+E
2.5
Exit
2.2
UP
1.8
ISP
1.4
Others
2.9
Accuracy in elections
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Termometro Politico pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.2 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, Termometro Politico's average ranking is 14.0.
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Rating of parties
Institute often rates Forza Italia lower
In 49% of election polls Termometro Politico rates Forza Italia lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Fratelli d’Italia higher
In 49% of election polls, Termometro Politico rates Fratelli d’Italia higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Lega higher
In 30% of election polls, Termometro Politico rates Lega higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
