Latest polls from Termometro Politico
29.4
22.9
10.3
9.6
8.8
6.8
3
2.1
1.6
1.5
1.4
0.9
0.3
1.4
29.1
23.2
9.9
9.3
9
7
3
2
1.7
1.6
1.3
0.9
0.3
1.7
29.2
23.5
10
9.5
8.6
6.8
3
2
1.8
1.7
1.3
0.9
0.3
1.4
29.4
23.5
9.9
9.3
8.6
7
3.1
2
1.8
1.7
1.2
1
0.3
1.2
Rating of parties
Institute often rates Lega higher
In 37% of election polls, Termometro Politico rates Lega higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Termometro Politico pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.2 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, Termometro Politico's average ranking is 16.5.
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