Italy: Poll by Winpoll from 25.06.2022

Italy: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
FdI
25.7
+6.6
PD
21.3
-1.5
Lega
15.2
-6.5
M5S
9.9
-1.1
FI
9.7
-0.6
A/+E
3.4
+3.4
IV
2.7
±0.0
EV
1.9
+0.3
Exit
1.9
+1.9
SI
1.4
+1.4
PaP
1.0
+1.0
CI
1.0
+0.6
Others
3.5
-5.5
Development since the last election on 25.09.2022
FdI
-0.3
PD
+2.2
Lega
+6.4
M5S
-5.5
FI
+1.6
A/+E
New
IV
New
EV
New
Exit
±0.0
SI
New
PaP
New
CI
New
Winpoll – 1000 respondents – 24.06.2022-25.06.2022

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Italy is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates Forza Italia higher

In 33% of election polls, Winpoll rates Forza Italia higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Fratelli d’Italia higher

In 44% of election polls, Winpoll rates Fratelli d’Italia higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Movimento 5 Stelle lower

In 56% of election polls Winpoll rates Movimento 5 Stelle lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Partito Democratico higher

In 56% of election polls, Winpoll rates Partito Democratico higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Italy - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Italy from Winpoll shows the following results: Fratelli d’Italia 25.7%, Partito Democratico 21.3%, Lega 15.2%, Movimento 5 Stelle 9.9%, Forza Italia 9.7%, A/+E 3.4%, Italia Viva 2.7%, Europa Verde 1.9%, Italexit 1.9%, Sinistra Italiana 1.4%, Potere al Popolo 1% and Coraggio Italia 1%. If an election were held in Italy this Sunday, Lega might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.4 growth since the last election. Movimento 5 Stelle, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Giorgia Meloni is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from Lega, Forza Italia and Fratelli d’Italia. With 59.6% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Winpoll. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (24.06.2022 - 25.06.2022).

Coalition possibilities

400
Majority requires 201 seats
M5S
46
11.5%
PD
100
25%
A/+E
16
4%
FI
45
11.3%
FdI
121
30.3%
Lega
72
18%
Partito Democratico + Lega + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia
65.8%
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + Movimento 5 Stelle
59.8%
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + Forza Italia
59.5%
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia
53.0%
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia + A/+E
51.8%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Italy was conducted by Winpoll. The survey took place between 24.06.2022 and 25.06.2022 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Fratelli d’Italia 25.7%, Partito Democratico 21.3%, Lega 15.2%, Movimento 5 Stelle 9.9%, Forza Italia 9.7%, A/+E 3.4%, Italia Viva 2.7%, Europa Verde 1.9%, Italexit 1.9%, Sinistra Italiana 1.4%, Potere al Popolo 1% and Coraggio Italia 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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