Italy: Poll by Quorum – YouTrend from 27.08.2022

Italy: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
FdI
24.1
+8.1
PD
22.7
+2.0
Lega
13.8
-9.7
M5S
11.1
-3.8
FI
8.7
+1.3
A/IV
5.3
+5.3
AVS
3.2
+3.2
+E
2.9
+0.9
Exit
2.5
+2.5
NM
1.9
+1.9
UP
1.2
+1.2
IC
0.7
+0.7
Others
1.9
-13.6
Development since the last election on 25.09.2022
FdI
-1.9
PD
+3.6
Lega
+5.0
M5S
-4.3
FI
+0.6
A/IV
-2.5
AVS
-0.4
+E
+0.1
Exit
+0.6
NM
+1.0
UP
-0.2
IC
+0.1
Quorum – YouTrend – 1005 respondents – 24.08.2022-27.08.2022

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Italy is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Italy - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Italy from Quorum – YouTrend shows the following results: Fratelli d’Italia 24.1%, Partito Democratico 22.7%, Lega 13.8%, Movimento 5 Stelle 11.1%, Forza Italia 8.7%, A/IV 5.3%, AVS 3.2%, Più Europa 2.9%, Italexit 2.5%, NM 1.9%, UP 1.2% and IC 0.7%. If an election were held in Italy this Sunday, Lega might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.0 growth since the last election. Movimento 5 Stelle, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Giorgia Meloni is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from Lega, Forza Italia and Fratelli d’Italia. With 52.6% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Quorum – YouTrend. For this purpose, 1005 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (24.08.2022 - 27.08.2022).

Coalition possibilities

400
Majority requires 201 seats
M5S
50
12.5%
AVS
14
3.5%
PD
102
25.5%
A/IV
24
6%
FI
39
9.8%
FdI
109
27.3%
Lega
62
15.5%
Partito Democratico + Lega + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia
63.3%
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + Movimento 5 Stelle
55.3%
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia + A/IV
53.8%
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + Forza Italia
52.5%
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia
49.5%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Italy was conducted by Quorum – YouTrend. The survey took place between 24.08.2022 and 27.08.2022 among 1005 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Fratelli d’Italia 24.1%, Partito Democratico 22.7%, Lega 13.8%, Movimento 5 Stelle 11.1%, Forza Italia 8.7%, A/IV 5.3%, AVS 3.2%, Più Europa 2.9%, Italexit 2.5%, NM 1.9%, UP 1.2% and IC 0.7%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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