Italy: Poll by Ixè from 02.09.2022

Polling data

FdI
22.7
+3.1
PD
21.7
+0.3
M5S
13.8
-0.6
Lega
10.9
-4.2
FI
7.9
-1.0
A/IV
7.1
+7.1
AVS
3.5
+3.5
+E
2.7
+2.7
Exit
2.5
+2.5
NM
1.2
+1.2
IC
0.8
+0.8
Others
5.2
-15.4
Development since the last election on 25.09.2022
FdI
-3.3
PD
+2.6
M5S
-1.6
Lega
+2.1
FI
-0.2
A/IV
-0.7
AVS
-0.1
+E
-0.1
Exit
+0.6
NM
+0.3
IC
+0.2
Ixè – 1000 respondents – 29.08.2022-02.09.2022

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Italy is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates AVS higher

In 30% of election polls, Ixè rates AVS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Lega lower

In 58% of election polls Ixè rates Lega lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Movimento 5 Stelle higher

In 40% of election polls, Ixè rates Movimento 5 Stelle higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Partito Democratico higher

In 39% of election polls, Ixè rates Partito Democratico higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Italy - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Italy from Ixè shows the following results: Fratelli d’Italia 22.7%, Partito Democratico 21.7%, Movimento 5 Stelle 13.8%, Lega 10.9%, Forza Italia 7.9%, A/IV 7.1%, AVS 3.5%, Più Europa 2.7%, Italexit 2.5%, NM 1.2% and IC 0.8%. If an election were held in Italy this Sunday, Partito Democratico might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.6 growth since the last election. Fratelli d’Italia, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Giorgia Meloni is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from Lega, Forza Italia and Fratelli d’Italia. With 47.3% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Ixè. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (29.08.2022 - 02.09.2022).

Coalition possibilities

400
Majority requires 201 seats
M5S
63
15.8%
AVS
16
4%
PD
100
24.8%
A/IV
32
8.1%
FI
36
9%
FdI
104
25.9%
Lega
49
12.4%
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega + Forza Italia
62.0%
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia + A/IV
57.8%
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega
54.0%
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + A/IV + AVS
52.8%
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia
50.8%
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia
49.8%
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + Forza Italia
47.3%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Italy was conducted by Ixè. The survey took place between 29.08.2022 and 02.09.2022 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Fratelli d’Italia 22.7%, Partito Democratico 21.7%, Movimento 5 Stelle 13.8%, Lega 10.9%, Forza Italia 7.9%, A/IV 7.1%, AVS 3.5%, Più Europa 2.7%, Italexit 2.5%, NM 1.2% and IC 0.8%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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