Italy: Poll by Demos & Pi from 07.09.2022

Italy: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
FdI
24.6
+1.2
PD
22.4
-2.2
M5S
13.8
+2.5
Lega
12.0
-1.2
FI
7.7
-0.6
A/IV
6.8
+6.8
AVS
3.4
-0.2
+E
2.2
+2.2
Exit
2.0
-0.7
Others
5.1
-7.8
Development since the last election on 25.09.2022
FdI
-1.4
PD
New
M5S
-1.6
Lega
+3.2
FI
-0.4
A/IV
-1.0
AVS
-0.2
+E
-0.6
Exit
+0.1
Demos & Pi – 1001 respondents – 05.09.2022-07.09.2022

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Italy is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Italy - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Italy from Demos & Pi shows the following results: Fratelli d’Italia 24.6%, Partito Democratico 22.4%, Movimento 5 Stelle 13.8%, Lega 12%, Forza Italia 7.7%, A/IV 6.8%, AVS 3.4%, Più Europa 2.2% and Italexit 2%. If an election were held in Italy this Sunday, Lega might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.2 growth since the last election. Movimento 5 Stelle, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Giorgia Meloni is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from Lega, Forza Italia and Fratelli d’Italia. With 49.1% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Demos & Pi. For this purpose, 1001 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (05.09.2022 - 07.09.2022).

Coalition possibilities

400
Majority requires 201 seats
M5S
61
15.3%
AVS
14
3.5%
PD
99
24.8%
A/IV
30
7.5%
FI
34
8.5%
FdI
109
27.3%
Lega
53
13.3%
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega + Forza Italia
61.8%
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia + A/IV
56.0%
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega
55.8%
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia
51.0%
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + A/IV + AVS
51.0%
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + Forza Italia
49.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Italy was conducted by Demos & Pi. The survey took place between 05.09.2022 and 07.09.2022 among 1001 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Fratelli d’Italia 24.6%, Partito Democratico 22.4%, Movimento 5 Stelle 13.8%, Lega 12%, Forza Italia 7.7%, A/IV 6.8%, AVS 3.4%, Più Europa 2.2% and Italexit 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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