Italy: Poll by Index from 07.09.2022

Polling data

FdI
26.5
+3.9
PD
21.1
-0.5
M5S
14.0
+1.5
Lega
11.0
-4.2
A/IV
7.2
+7.2
FI
7.0
-1.0
AVS
4.0
+4.0
Exit
3.0
+0.5
+E
2.0
+2.0
NM
1.1
+1.1
UP
1.0
+1.0
IC
0.9
+0.9
Sonst.
1.2
-16.4
Index – 800 respondents – 06.09.2022-07.09.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Italy is expected to take place in 2027.
Low number of respondents
Only 800 eligible voters were polled for this election poll.

Election poll results

Italy - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Italy from Index shows the following results: Fratelli d’Italia 26.5%, Partito Democratico 21.1%, Movimento 5 Stelle 14%, Lega 11%, A/IV 7.2%, Forza Italia 7%, AVS 4%, Italexit 3%, Più Europa 2%, NM 1.1%, UP 1% and IC 0.9%. If an election were held in Italy this Sunday, Lega might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.2 growth since the last election. Movimento 5 Stelle, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Giorgia Meloni is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from Lega, Forza Italia, Fratelli d’Italia and NM. With 47.5% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Index. For this purpose, 800 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (06.09.2022 - 07.09.2022).

Coalition possibilities

400
AVS
17
PD
90
A/IV
31
M5S
60
FI
30
FdI
113
Lega
47
Exit
12
Majority requires 201 seats
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega + Forza Italia
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega
220
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + A/IV + Forza Italia
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + A/IV + AVS + Italexit
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia
203
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + Forza Italia + Italexit
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + AVS + Italexit
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + A/IV + AVS
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + Forza Italia
190

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Italy was conducted by Index. The survey took place between 06.09.2022 and 07.09.2022 among 800 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Fratelli d’Italia 26.5%, Partito Democratico 21.1%, Movimento 5 Stelle 14%, Lega 11%, A/IV 7.2%, Forza Italia 7%, AVS 4%, Italexit 3%, Più Europa 2%, NM 1.1%, UP 1% and IC 0.9%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.