Italy: Poll by Tecnè from 08.09.2022

Italy: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
FdI
25.4
+0.6
PD
21.6
-0.3
M5S
12.2
+0.3
Lega
11.4
-0.7
FI
10.2
-0.2
A/IV
6.4
+0.3
AVS
3.2
+0.2
Exit
2.6
+0.2
+E
2.0
-0.1
NM
1.3
-0.1
IC
0.9
±0.0
Others
2.8
-0.2
Development since the last election on 25.09.2022
FdI
-0.6
PD
+2.5
M5S
-3.2
Lega
+2.6
FI
+2.1
A/IV
-1.4
AVS
-0.4
Exit
+0.7
+E
-0.8
NM
+0.4
IC
+0.3
Tecnè – 2003 respondents – 06.09.2022-08.09.2022

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Italy is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates Forza Italia higher

In 75% of election polls, Tecnè rates Forza Italia higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Italy - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Italy from Tecnè shows the following results: Fratelli d’Italia 25.4%, Partito Democratico 21.6%, Movimento 5 Stelle 12.2%, Lega 11.4%, Forza Italia 10.2%, A/IV 6.4%, AVS 3.2%, Italexit 2.6%, Più Europa 2%, NM 1.3% and IC 0.9%. If an election were held in Italy this Sunday, Lega might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.6 growth since the last election. Movimento 5 Stelle, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Giorgia Meloni is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from Lega, Forza Italia and Fratelli d’Italia. With 52.1% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Tecnè. For this purpose, 2003 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (06.09.2022 - 08.09.2022).

Coalition possibilities

400
Majority requires 201 seats
M5S
54
13.5%
AVS
14
3.5%
PD
96
24%
A/IV
28
7%
FI
45
11.3%
FdI
113
28.3%
Lega
50
12.5%
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega + Forza Italia
61.3%
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia + A/IV
55.8%
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega
54.3%
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia
53.0%
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + Forza Italia
52.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Italy was conducted by Tecnè. The survey took place between 06.09.2022 and 08.09.2022 among 2003 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Fratelli d’Italia 25.4%, Partito Democratico 21.6%, Movimento 5 Stelle 12.2%, Lega 11.4%, Forza Italia 10.2%, A/IV 6.4%, AVS 3.2%, Italexit 2.6%, Più Europa 2%, NM 1.3% and IC 0.9%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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