Italy: Poll by Euromedia from 07.09.2022

Italy: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
FdI
24.7
+0.1
PD
21.8
-1.3
M5S
13.0
+0.7
Lega
11.8
-0.7
A/IV
7.8
+0.4
FI
7.2
+0.2
AVS
3.8
+0.7
Exit
2.6
-0.1
+E
1.7
+0.2
NM
1.6
-0.4
IC
1.0
±0.0
Others
3.0
+0.2
Development since the last election on 25.09.2022
FdI
-1.3
PD
+2.7
M5S
-2.4
Lega
+3.0
A/IV
±0.0
FI
-0.9
AVS
+0.2
Exit
+0.7
+E
-1.1
NM
+0.7
IC
+0.4
Euromedia – 800 respondents – 07.09.2022-07.09.2022

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Italy is expected to take place in 2027.

Low number of respondents

Only 800 eligible voters were polled for this election poll.

Election poll results

Italy - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Italy from Euromedia shows the following results: Fratelli d’Italia 24.7%, Partito Democratico 21.8%, Movimento 5 Stelle 13%, Lega 11.8%, A/IV 7.8%, Forza Italia 7.2%, AVS 3.8%, Italexit 2.6%, Più Europa 1.7%, NM 1.6% and IC 1%. If an election were held in Italy this Sunday, Lega might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.0 growth since the last election. Movimento 5 Stelle, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Giorgia Meloni is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from Lega, Forza Italia and Fratelli d’Italia. With 48.5% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Euromedia. For this purpose, 800 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (07.09.2022 - 07.09.2022).

Coalition possibilities

400
Majority requires 201 seats
M5S
58
14.5%
AVS
16
4%
PD
97
24.3%
A/IV
35
8.8%
FI
32
8%
FdI
110
27.5%
Lega
52
13%
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega + Forza Italia
59.8%
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + A/IV + Forza Italia
55.5%
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega
55.0%
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + A/IV + AVS
51.5%
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia
50.0%
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + Forza Italia
48.5%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Italy was conducted by Euromedia. Eligible voters were surveyed for this on 07.09.2022 800. After this election poll would get Fratelli d’Italia 24.7%, Partito Democratico 21.8%, Movimento 5 Stelle 13%, Lega 11.8%, A/IV 7.8%, Forza Italia 7.2%, AVS 3.8%, Italexit 2.6%, Più Europa 1.7%, NM 1.6% and IC 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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