Italy
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Elections

Italy: Poll by BiDiMedia from 09.09.2022

Polling data

FdI
25.8
+1.8
PD
22.3
-1.9
M5S
13.1
+3.1
Lega
11.8
-1.8
A/IV
7.0
+1.8
FI
6.7
-0.3
AVS
4.0
+0.1
Exit
2.4
±0.0
NM
1.4
-0.4
UP
1.2
+1.2
IC
0.7
+0.7
Others
3.6
0.0
Development since the last election on 25.09.2022
FdI
-0.2
PD
+3.2
M5S
-2.3
Lega
+3.0
A/IV
-0.8
FI
-1.4
AVS
+0.4
Exit
+0.5
NM
+0.5
UP
-0.2
IC
+0.1
BiDiMedia – 3045 respondents – 08.09.2022-09.09.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Italy is expected to take place in 2027.
Election poll results

Italy - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Italy from BiDiMedia shows the following results: Fratelli d’Italia 25.8%, Partito Democratico 22.3%, Movimento 5 Stelle 13.1%, Lega 11.8%, A/IV 7%, Forza Italia 6.7%, AVS 4%, Italexit 2.4%, NM 1.4%, UP 1.2% and IC 0.7%. If an election were held in Italy this Sunday, Partito Democratico might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.2 growth since the last election. Movimento 5 Stelle, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Giorgia Meloni is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from Lega, Forza Italia, Fratelli d’Italia and NM. With 48.8% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by BiDiMedia. For this purpose, 3045 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (08.09.2022 - 09.09.2022).

Coalition possibilities

Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega + Forza Italia
59.4
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega
55.8
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + A/IV + Forza Italia
54.1
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + A/IV + AVS
51.1
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia
50.2
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + Forza Italia
48.8

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results
This election poll on the parliamentary election in Italy was conducted by BiDiMedia. The survey took place between 08.09.2022 and 09.09.2022 among 3045 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Fratelli d’Italia 25.8%, Partito Democratico 22.3%, Movimento 5 Stelle 13.1%, Lega 11.8%, A/IV 7%, Forza Italia 6.7%, AVS 4%, Italexit 2.4%, NM 1.4%, UP 1.2% and IC 0.7%.
How reliable are election polls?
Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.
What should you look out for in election polls?
Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.

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