Italy: Poll by IZI from 08.09.2022

Polling data

FdI
25.0
+14.3
PD
21.4
+3.2
M5S
15.4
-2.5
Lega
10.0
-18.6
FI
8.6
-0.9
A/IV
5.5
+5.5
AVS
4.2
+4.2
Exit
2.9
+2.9
UP
2.0
+2.0
+E
1.5
-1.2
IC
0.9
+0.9
NM
0.5
+0.5
Others
2.1
-10.3
Development since the last election on 25.09.2022
FdI
-1.0
PD
+2.3
M5S
±0.0
Lega
+1.2
FI
+0.5
A/IV
-2.3
AVS
+0.6
Exit
+1.0
UP
+0.6
+E
-1.3
IC
+0.3
NM
-0.4
IZI – 3470 respondents – 07.09.2022-08.09.2022

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Italy is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Italy - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Italy from IZI shows the following results: Fratelli d’Italia 25%, Partito Democratico 21.4%, Movimento 5 Stelle 15.4%, Lega 10%, Forza Italia 8.6%, A/IV 5.5%, AVS 4.2%, Italexit 2.9%, UP 2%, Più Europa 1.5%, IC 0.9% and NM 0.5%. If an election were held in Italy this Sunday, Partito Democratico might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.3 growth since the last election. A/IV, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Giorgia Meloni is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from Lega, Forza Italia and Fratelli d’Italia. With 48.3% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by IZI. For this purpose, 3470 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (07.09.2022 - 08.09.2022).

Coalition possibilities

400
Majority requires 201 seats
M5S
69
17.1%
AVS
18
4.7%
PD
96
23.8%
A/IV
24
6.1%
FI
38
9.5%
FdI
111
27.7%
Lega
44
11.1%
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega + Forza Italia
61.8%
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega
56.0%
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia
54.5%
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + A/IV + AVS
51.8%
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia
50.8%
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + AVS
49.5%
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + Forza Italia
48.3%
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + AVS
45.8%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Italy was conducted by IZI. The survey took place between 07.09.2022 and 08.09.2022 among 3470 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Fratelli d’Italia 25%, Partito Democratico 21.4%, Movimento 5 Stelle 15.4%, Lega 10%, Forza Italia 8.6%, A/IV 5.5%, AVS 4.2%, Italexit 2.9%, UP 2%, Più Europa 1.5%, IC 0.9% and NM 0.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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