Italy: Poll by Termometro Politico from 17.11.2022

Polling data

FdI
28.8
+0.4
PD
17.0
-0.4
M5S
16.6
+0.1
A/IV
8.4
±0.0
Lega
8.2
-0.1
FI
6.6
±0.0
AVS
3.5
-0.1
+E
2.7
+0.2
Exit
2.1
-0.1
UP
1.7
-0.1
ISP
1.5
+0.1
Others
2.9
0.0
Termometro Politico – 3900 respondents – 16.11.2022-17.11.2022
Institute often rates Forza Italia lower
In 49% of election polls Termometro Politico rates Forza Italia lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Fratelli d’Italia higher
In 49% of election polls, Termometro Politico rates Fratelli d’Italia higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Lega higher
In 30% of election polls, Termometro Politico rates Lega higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Italy is expected to take place in 2027.

Coalition possibilities

Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + A/IV + Forza Italia
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega + Forza Italia
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + A/IV + AVS
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle
50.9
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + Forza Italia
48.9


Government would have to tremble
In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 48.9% of the votes.

Frequently asked questions about election polls

election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Italy was conducted by Termometro Politico. The survey took place between 16.11.2022 and 17.11.2022 among 3900 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Fratelli d’Italia 28.8%, Partito Democratico 17%, Movimento 5 Stelle 16.6%, A/IV 8.4%, Lega 8.2%, Forza Italia 6.6%, AVS 3.5%, Più Europa 2.7%, Italexit 2.1%, UP 1.7% and ISP 1.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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