Italy: Poll by Tecnè from 18.11.2022

Polling data

FdI
30.1
+0.7
M5S
17.4
+0.3
PD
16.4
-0.5
Lega
8.5
+0.1
A/IV
7.7
±0.0
FI
7.2
+0.2
AVS
3.4
-0.1
+E
2.5
±0.0
Exit
1.9
-0.1
Others
4.9
0.0
Tecnè – 1000 respondents – 18.11.2022-18.11.2022
Institute often rates Forza Italia higher
In 65% of election polls, Tecnè rates Forza Italia higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Fratelli d’Italia higher
In 55% of election polls, Tecnè rates Fratelli d’Italia higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Lega lower
In 43% of election polls Tecnè rates Lega lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Movimento 5 Stelle lower
In 41% of election polls Tecnè rates Movimento 5 Stelle lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Italy is expected to take place in 2027.

Coalition possibilities

Movimento 5 Stelle + Partito Democratico + Lega + Forza Italia
Movimento 5 Stelle + Partito Democratico + A/IV + Forza Italia
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle
52.4
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + Forza Italia
50.5
Movimento 5 Stelle + Partito Democratico + A/IV + AVS


Government would have to tremble
In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 50.5% of the votes.

Frequently asked questions about election polls

election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Italy was conducted by Tecnè. Eligible voters were surveyed for this on 18.11.2022 1000. After this election poll would get Fratelli d’Italia 30.1%, Movimento 5 Stelle 17.4%, Partito Democratico 16.4%, Lega 8.5%, A/IV 7.7%, Forza Italia 7.2%, AVS 3.4%, Più Europa 2.5% and Italexit 1.9%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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