Italy: Poll by SWG from 21.11.2022

Polling data

FdI
30.4
+0.3
M5S
16.9
-0.1
PD
16.2
+0.2
A/IV
7.9
-0.1
Lega
7.6
-0.5
FI
6.4
-0.4
AVS
4.0
+0.2
+E
3.0
+0.1
Exit
1.9
-0.2
UP
1.5
+0.2
Others
4.2
0.0
SWG – 1200 respondents – 16.11.2022-21.11.2022
Institute often rates Forza Italia lower
In 37% of election polls SWG rates Forza Italia lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Fratelli d’Italia higher
In 34% of election polls, SWG rates Fratelli d’Italia higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Italy is expected to take place in 2027.

Coalition possibilities

Movimento 5 Stelle + Partito Democratico + A/IV + AVS + Più Europa
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + Forza Italia + Più Europa
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle
51.2
Movimento 5 Stelle + Partito Democratico + A/IV + Forza Italia
Movimento 5 Stelle + Partito Democratico + Lega + Forza Italia
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + Forza Italia
48.0


Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 48.0% of the votes.

Frequently asked questions about election polls

election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Italy was conducted by SWG. The survey took place between 16.11.2022 and 21.11.2022 among 1200 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Fratelli d’Italia 30.4%, Movimento 5 Stelle 16.9%, Partito Democratico 16.2%, A/IV 7.9%, Lega 7.6%, Forza Italia 6.4%, AVS 4%, Più Europa 3%, Italexit 1.9% and UP 1.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
We use cookies to ensure you get the best experience on our website. More info