Italy
Election trend
Parties

Italy: Poll by Euromedia from 11.01.2023

Polling data

FdI
28.2
-0.4
M5S
17.5
+0.3
PD
16.7
+0.9
Lega
9.0
-0.7
A/IV
8.3
-0.2
FI
7.0
-0.8
Exit
2.6
+0.1
+E
2.5
+0.1
AVS
1.9
-0.7
NM
1.0
+0.4
Sonst.
5.3
+1.0
Development since the last election on 25.09.2022
FdI
+2.2
M5S
+2.1
PD
-2.4
Lega
+0.2
A/IV
+0.5
FI
-1.1
Exit
+0.7
+E
-0.3
AVS
-1.7
NM
+0.1
Euromedia – 1000 respondents – 10.01.2023-11.01.2023
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Italy is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Italy - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Italy from Euromedia shows the following results: Fratelli d’Italia 28.2%, Movimento 5 Stelle 17.5%, Partito Democratico 16.7%, Lega 9%, A/IV 8.3%, Forza Italia 7%, Italexit 2.6%, Più Europa 2.5%, AVS 1.9% and NM 1%. If an election were held in Italy this Sunday, Fratelli d’Italia might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.2 growth since the last election. Partito Democratico, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Giorgia Meloni is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from Lega, Forza Italia, Fratelli d’Italia and NM. With 51.0% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Euromedia. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (10.01.2023 - 11.01.2023).

Coalition possibilities

400
M5S
81
PD
77
A/IV
38
FI
32
FdI
131
Lega
41
Majority requires 201 seats
Movimento 5 Stelle + Partito Democratico + Lega + Forza Italia
231
Movimento 5 Stelle + Partito Democratico + A/IV + Forza Italia
228
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle
212
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + Forza Italia
204
Movimento 5 Stelle + Partito Democratico + A/IV
196

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Italy was conducted by Euromedia. The survey took place between 10.01.2023 and 11.01.2023 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Fratelli d’Italia 28.2%, Movimento 5 Stelle 17.5%, Partito Democratico 16.7%, Lega 9%, A/IV 8.3%, Forza Italia 7%, Italexit 2.6%, Più Europa 2.5%, AVS 1.9% and NM 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.