Italy: Poll by Ipsos from 23.01.2023

Polling data

FdI
30.5
-1.2
M5S
18.2
+0.6
PD
16.4
+0.1
Lega
8.3
+0.5
A/IV
7.1
+0.1
FI
6.8
+0.6
AVS
4.1
+0.3
Exit
2.2
-0.1
+E
2.0
±0.0
DSP
1.3
-0.3
UP
1.3
-0.2
NM
1.0
-0.1
Sonst.
0.8
-0.3
Ipsos – 1000 respondents – 19.01.2023-23.01.2023
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Italy is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Italy - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Italy from Ipsos shows the following results: Fratelli d’Italia 30.5%, Movimento 5 Stelle 18.2%, Partito Democratico 16.4%, Lega 8.3%, A/IV 7.1%, Forza Italia 6.8%, AVS 4.1%, Italexit 2.2%, Più Europa 2%, DSp 1.3%, UP 1.3% and NM 1%. If an election were held in Italy this Sunday, Fratelli d’Italia might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.5 growth since the last election. Partito Democratico, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Giorgia Meloni is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from Lega, Forza Italia, Fratelli d’Italia and NM. With 49.9% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Ipsos. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (19.01.2023 - 23.01.2023).

Coalition possibilities

400
M5S
80
AVS
18
PD
72
A/IV
31
FI
29
FdI
134
Lega
36
Majority requires 201 seats
Movimento 5 Stelle + Partito Democratico + Lega + Forza Italia
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle
214
Movimento 5 Stelle + Partito Democratico + A/IV + Forza Italia
Movimento 5 Stelle + Partito Democratico + A/IV + AVS
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + Forza Italia
199

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Italy was conducted by Ipsos. The survey took place between 19.01.2023 and 23.01.2023 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Fratelli d’Italia 30.5%, Movimento 5 Stelle 18.2%, Partito Democratico 16.4%, Lega 8.3%, A/IV 7.1%, Forza Italia 6.8%, AVS 4.1%, Italexit 2.2%, Più Europa 2%, DSp 1.3%, UP 1.3% and NM 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.