Italy
Election trend
Parties

Italy: Poll by EMG from 26.01.2023

Polling data

FdI
27.5
-0.3
M5S
17.9
+0.3
PD
17.7
+0.3
Lega
8.6
-0.2
A/IV
7.9
-0.3
FI
7.2
+0.2
AVS
3.6
-0.2
+E
2.4
+0.1
Exit
2.2
-0.1
NM
1.3
-0.1
UP
1.3
±0.0
Sonst.
2.4
+0.3
Development since the last election on 25.09.2022
FdI
+1.5
M5S
+2.5
PD
-1.4
Lega
-0.2
A/IV
+0.1
FI
-0.9
AVS
±0.0
+E
-0.4
Exit
+0.3
NM
+0.4
UP
-0.1
EMG – 1532 respondents – 26.01.2023-26.01.2023
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Italy is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Italy - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Italy from EMG shows the following results: Fratelli d’Italia 27.5%, Movimento 5 Stelle 17.9%, Partito Democratico 17.7%, Lega 8.6%, A/IV 7.9%, Forza Italia 7.2%, AVS 3.6%, Più Europa 2.4%, Italexit 2.2%, NM 1.3% and UP 1.3%. If an election were held in Italy this Sunday, Movimento 5 Stelle might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.5 growth since the last election. Partito Democratico, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Giorgia Meloni is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from Lega, Forza Italia, Fratelli d’Italia and NM. With 47.9% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by EMG. For this purpose, 1532 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (26.01.2023 - 26.01.2023).

Coalition possibilities

400
M5S
79
AVS
16
PD
78
A/IV
35
FI
32
FdI
122
Lega
38
Majority requires 201 seats
Movimento 5 Stelle + Partito Democratico + Lega + Forza Italia
227
Movimento 5 Stelle + Partito Democratico + A/IV + Forza Italia
224
Movimento 5 Stelle + Partito Democratico + A/IV + AVS
208
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle
201
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + Forza Italia
192

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Italy was conducted by EMG. Eligible voters were surveyed for this on 26.01.2023 1532. After this election poll would get Fratelli d’Italia 27.5%, Movimento 5 Stelle 17.9%, Partito Democratico 17.7%, Lega 8.6%, A/IV 7.9%, Forza Italia 7.2%, AVS 3.6%, Più Europa 2.4%, Italexit 2.2%, NM 1.3% and UP 1.3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.