Italy: Poll by Index from 15.02.2023

Polling data

FdI
31.0
+0.3
M5S
17.5
-0.2
PD
15.4
+0.2
Lega
8.7
+0.2
A/IV
7.6
-0.3
FI
6.3
-0.3
AVS
3.9
-0.1
+E
2.8
-0.1
Exit
2.2
±0.0
Sonst.
4.6
+0.3
Index – 800 respondents – 15.02.2023-15.02.2023
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Italy is expected to take place in 2027.
Low number of respondents
Only 800 eligible voters were polled for this election poll.

Election poll results

Italy - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Italy from Index shows the following results: Fratelli d’Italia 31%, Movimento 5 Stelle 17.5%, Partito Democratico 15.4%, Lega 8.7%, A/IV 7.6%, Forza Italia 6.3%, AVS 3.9%, Più Europa 2.8% and Italexit 2.2%. If an election were held in Italy this Sunday, Fratelli d’Italia might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.0 growth since the last election. Partito Democratico, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Giorgia Meloni is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from Lega, Forza Italia, Fratelli d’Italia and NM. With 50.9% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Index. For this purpose, 800 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (15.02.2023 - 15.02.2023).

Coalition possibilities

400
M5S
78
AVS
17
PD
68
A/IV
33
FI
28
FdI
138
Lega
38
Majority requires 201 seats
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle
216
Movimento 5 Stelle + Partito Democratico + Lega + Forza Italia
Movimento 5 Stelle + Partito Democratico + A/IV + Forza Italia
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + Forza Italia
204
Movimento 5 Stelle + Partito Democratico + A/IV + AVS

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Italy was conducted by Index. Eligible voters were surveyed for this on 15.02.2023 800. After this election poll would get Fratelli d’Italia 31%, Movimento 5 Stelle 17.5%, Partito Democratico 15.4%, Lega 8.7%, A/IV 7.6%, Forza Italia 6.3%, AVS 3.9%, Più Europa 2.8% and Italexit 2.2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.