Italy: Poll by Tecnè from 18.02.2023

Polling data

FdI
31.1
+0.5
M5S
17.0
+0.3
PD
16.7
-0.4
Lega
9.2
±0.0
FI
7.8
-0.2
A/IV
7.4
±0.0
AVS
3.1
-0.2
+E
2.4
-0.1
Exit
1.7
+1.7
Sonst.
3.6
-1.6
Tecnè – 1000 respondents – 16.02.2023-18.02.2023
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Italy is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Italy - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Italy from Tecnè shows the following results: Fratelli d’Italia 31.1%, Movimento 5 Stelle 17%, Partito Democratico 16.7%, Lega 9.2%, Forza Italia 7.8%, A/IV 7.4%, AVS 3.1%, Più Europa 2.4% and Italexit 1.7%. If an election were held in Italy this Sunday, Fratelli d’Italia might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.1 growth since the last election. Partito Democratico, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Giorgia Meloni is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from Lega, Forza Italia, Fratelli d’Italia and NM. With 52.2% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Tecnè. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (16.02.2023 - 18.02.2023).

Coalition possibilities

400
M5S
74
AVS
13
PD
72
A/IV
32
FI
34
FdI
135
Lega
40
Majority requires 201 seats
Movimento 5 Stelle + Partito Democratico + Lega + Forza Italia
Movimento 5 Stelle + Partito Democratico + Forza Italia + A/IV
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + Forza Italia
209
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle
209

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Italy was conducted by Tecnè. The survey took place between 16.02.2023 and 18.02.2023 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Fratelli d’Italia 31.1%, Movimento 5 Stelle 17%, Partito Democratico 16.7%, Lega 9.2%, Forza Italia 7.8%, A/IV 7.4%, AVS 3.1%, Più Europa 2.4% and Italexit 1.7%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.