Italy
Overview
Parties
Coalitions
Institutes
Elections

Italy: Poll by SWG from 13.03.2023

Polling data

FdI
30.3
-0.4
PD
19.8
+0.8
M5S
16.1
+0.4
Lega
8.8
±0.0
A/IV
7.5
-0.5
FI
6.4
-0.2
AVS
3.2
+0.2
+E
2.2
+0.1
UP
1.7
-0.1
Exit
1.6
-0.1
Others
2.4
0.0
Development since the last election on 25.09.2022
FdI
+4.3
PD
+0.7
M5S
+0.7
Lega
±0.0
A/IV
-0.3
FI
-1.7
AVS
-0.4
+E
-0.6
UP
+0.3
Exit
-0.3
SWG – 1200 respondents – 08.03.2023-13.03.2023

Italy - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Italy from SWG shows the following results: Fratelli d’Italia 30.3%, Partito Democratico 19.8%, Movimento 5 Stelle 16.1%, Lega 8.8%, A/IV 7.5%, Forza Italia 6.4%, AVS 3.2%, Più Europa 2.2%, UP 1.7% and Italexit 1.6%. If an election were held in Italy this Sunday, Fratelli d’Italia might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.3 growth since the last election. Forza Italia, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Giorgia Meloni is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from Lega, Forza Italia and Fratelli d’Italia. With 49.4% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by SWG. For this purpose, 1200 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (08.03.2023 - 13.03.2023).

Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Italy is expected to take place in 2027.

Coalition possibilities

Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega + Forza Italia
55.5
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + A/IV + Forza Italia
54.0
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + A/IV + AVS
50.6
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle
50.4
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + Forza Italia
49.4
Government would have to tremble
In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 49.4% of the votes.

Frequently asked questions about election polls

election poll results
This election poll on the parliamentary election in Italy was conducted by SWG. The survey took place between 08.03.2023 and 13.03.2023 among 1200 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Fratelli d’Italia 30.3%, Partito Democratico 19.8%, Movimento 5 Stelle 16.1%, Lega 8.8%, A/IV 7.5%, Forza Italia 6.4%, AVS 3.2%, Più Europa 2.2%, UP 1.7% and Italexit 1.6%.
How reliable are election polls?
Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.
What should you look out for in election polls?
Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.

More from the Internet