Italy
Election trend
Parties

Italy: Poll by EMG from 09.03.2023

Polling data

FdI
27.4
+0.1
PD
17.8
-0.3
M5S
16.5
+0.3
Lega
9.9
+0.1
FI
8.4
+0.2
A/IV
7.0
+0.2
AVS
3.2
-0.2
+E
2.6
-0.2
Exit
2.5
+0.2
NM
1.5
±0.0
UP
1.3
-0.1
Sonst.
1.9
-0.3
Development since the last election on 25.09.2022
FdI
+1.4
PD
-1.3
M5S
+1.1
Lega
+1.1
FI
+0.3
A/IV
-0.8
AVS
-0.4
+E
-0.2
Exit
+0.6
NM
+0.6
UP
-0.1
EMG – 1324 respondents – 09.03.2023-09.03.2023
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Italy is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Italy - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Italy from EMG shows the following results: Fratelli d’Italia 27.4%, Partito Democratico 17.8%, Movimento 5 Stelle 16.5%, Lega 9.9%, Forza Italia 8.4%, A/IV 7%, AVS 3.2%, Più Europa 2.6%, Italexit 2.5%, NM 1.5% and UP 1.3%. If an election were held in Italy this Sunday, Fratelli d’Italia might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.4 growth since the last election. Partito Democratico, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Giorgia Meloni is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from Lega, Forza Italia, Fratelli d’Italia and NM. With 50.7% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by EMG. For this purpose, 1324 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (09.03.2023 - 09.03.2023).

Coalition possibilities

400
M5S
73
AVS
14
PD
79
A/IV
31
FI
37
FdI
122
Lega
44
Majority requires 201 seats
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega
239
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega + Forza Italia
233
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia
232
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia + A/IV
220
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + AVS
209
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + Forza Italia
203
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + A/IV + AVS
197

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Italy was conducted by EMG. Eligible voters were surveyed for this on 09.03.2023 1324. After this election poll would get Fratelli d’Italia 27.4%, Partito Democratico 17.8%, Movimento 5 Stelle 16.5%, Lega 9.9%, Forza Italia 8.4%, A/IV 7%, AVS 3.2%, Più Europa 2.6%, Italexit 2.5%, NM 1.5% and UP 1.3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.