Italy
Election trend
Parties

Italy: Poll by Quorum from 16.03.2023

Polling data

FdI
29.0
+0.6
PD
19.3
+0.6
M5S
15.9
-0.1
Lega
8.5
-0.2
A/IV
7.6
-0.1
FI
5.8
-0.1
AVS
2.9
-0.4
Exit
2.4
-0.1
+E
2.0
+0.2
NM
1.5
±0.0
Sonst.
5.1
-0.4
Development since the last election on 25.09.2022
FdI
+3.0
PD
+0.2
M5S
+0.5
Lega
-0.3
A/IV
-0.2
FI
-2.3
AVS
-0.7
Exit
+0.5
+E
-0.8
NM
+0.6
Quorum – 805 respondents – 14.03.2023-16.03.2023
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Italy is expected to take place in 2027.
Low number of respondents
Only 805 eligible voters were polled for this election poll.
Institute often rates Forza Italia lower
In 36% of election polls Quorum rates Forza Italia lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Italy - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Italy from Quorum shows the following results: Fratelli d’Italia 29%, Partito Democratico 19.3%, Movimento 5 Stelle 15.9%, Lega 8.5%, A/IV 7.6%, Forza Italia 5.8%, AVS 2.9%, Italexit 2.4%, Più Europa 2% and NM 1.5%. If an election were held in Italy this Sunday, Fratelli d’Italia might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.0 growth since the last election. Forza Italia, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Giorgia Meloni is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from Lega, Forza Italia, Fratelli d’Italia and NM. With 50.3% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Quorum. For this purpose, 805 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (14.03.2023 - 16.03.2023).

Coalition possibilities

400
M5S
74
PD
90
A/IV
35
FI
27
FdI
135
Lega
39
Majority requires 201 seats
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega + Forza Italia
230
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + A/IV + Forza Italia
226
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle
209
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + Forza Italia
201
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + A/IV
199

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Italy was conducted by Quorum. The survey took place between 14.03.2023 and 16.03.2023 among 805 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Fratelli d’Italia 29%, Partito Democratico 19.3%, Movimento 5 Stelle 15.9%, Lega 8.5%, A/IV 7.6%, Forza Italia 5.8%, AVS 2.9%, Italexit 2.4%, Più Europa 2% and NM 1.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.